The Sacramento Kings (36-37) will travel to the American Airlines Center to meet the Dallas Mavericks (29-44). The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
The Mavericks dismantled the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 126-91, despite being 13-point underdogs. The Kings, meanwhile, were topped by the Los Angeles Lakers, 111-106, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Dallas game went 1 point under the projected point total of 218, while the Sacramento game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 231.5.
Dallas played a flawless game. They had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.657 (above their season average of 0.517) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.2 (below their season average of 22.7). Golden State recorded marks of 0.422 and 16.3, respectively, for those same stats. Sacramento, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 5.8 (better than their season average of 11.4). Dallas was led by Luka Doncic, who recorded his fifth triple-double this year. He took over, collecting 23 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. Marvin Bagley III, meanwhile was a key piece for Sacramento with 25 points and 11 rebounds.
In their two matchups this year, the Kings have won both. The two teams combined to score 216 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 229. Sacramento won 116-100, covering as a 9-point favorite. The Kings’ 26.1 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Mavericks, who had a mark of 16.4. Bagley III recorded a double-double with 22 points and 12 rebounds.
Just over half of the Kings’ games have finished under the total. Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 36-37 straight up (SU) and 42-30-1 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Sacramento, Mavericks games have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (54.8 percent). Although Dallas struggles winning games outright (29-44 SU), they have a solid 41-31-1 record ATS.
It could be a sloppy game for the Dallas offense. Dallas ranks 23rd in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.8 percent), while the pesky defense of Sacramento forces the fifth-most turnovers in the league (14.7 percent). It will also be a tale of two tempos as the up-and-down Kings rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Mavericks rank 21st.
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings average 25.5 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 15th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- Sacramento averages 21.2 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
- The Mavericks rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.5) while the Kings rank last (48.4).
- Sacramento ranks sixth in steals per game (8.5) while Dallas ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Dallas ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1) while Sacramento ranks 27th (14.4).
- The Mavericks average 36.0 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Kings rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
- The Mavericks rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.6) while the Kings rank 26th (51.5).
- Neither of these teams are great at blocking the ball. Sacramento is 25th in the NBA with 4.6 blocks per game while Dallas is 27th with 4.3 blocks per game.
- Sacramento ranks first in points off turnovers per game (19.7) while Dallas ranks 26th (14.8).
- Dallas is 11-4 when they allow below 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-0.
- The Kings are 34-33 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 28-34.
- Dallas is 22-13-1 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 18-17 ATS on the road.
- The Kings have 20 overs and 15 unders in 35 road games.
- Of the Mavericks’ 36 home games, they have 21 unders and 15 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Sacramento has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
- The Mavericks have outscored opponents by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Dallas has been defeated by an average of 1.5 points.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (2.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (6.8 below their season average).
