Orlando Magic vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction

Victor TrejosNBA, Uncategorized

The Orlando Magic (2-2) will be 3.5-point underdogs at home in Amway Center when they meet the Portland Trail Blazers (2-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218 points and it starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, October 25, 2018.

Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic Betting Odds

The Magic will look to keep it rolling after just getting past the Boston Celtics in their last game, 93-90, as 11-point underdogs. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, were beat by the Washington Wizards, 125-124, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Orlando game finished 28.5 points under the projected point total of 211.5, while the Portland game finished 21 points over the projected point total of 228.

The Magic had a turnover percentage of 8.5 (better than their season average of 11.8) and held the Celtics to an effective field goal percentage of 0.456 (below the 0.521 mark opponents have averaged against Orlando this season). Portland, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.8 vs. 18.5). Nikola Vucevic was a key piece for Orlando with 24 points and 12 rebounds. Portland, meanwhile, received a boost from Jusuf Nurkic, who had 22 points and 18 rebounds.

Second-chance opportunities could be few and far between for Orlando in this battle. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Magic rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.2 percent), while Portland ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.2 percent). ,

The Trail Blazers are 51-34 straight up (SU) and 43-46 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Games involving Portland have gone over the O/U total 56.2 percent of the time since last season.

The Magic, on the other hand, are 27-59 SU and 36-49-1 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Orlando games over that same stretch with 45 unders compared to 41 overs.

The Trail Blazers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Portland won 95-88. Portland’s effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Orlando. The Trail Blazers had a rate of 0.477 while the Magic posted a mark of 0.440.

Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.7) while the Magic rank ninth (28.0).
  • Portland averages 45.8 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the league. Orlando ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (46.1).
  • The Trail Blazers rank second in assists allowed per game (20.6) while the Magic rank 23rd (24.4).
  • Orlando ranks 13th in fast break points per game (12.4) while Portland ranks last (8.7).
  • Orlando ranks 23rd in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while Portland ranks 29th (14.1).
  • The Trail Blazers rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.0) while the Magic rank 28th (48.1).
  • The Trail Blazers rank seventh in blocks per game (5.1) while the Magic rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • Portland ranks sixth in second chance points per game (13.7) while Orlando ranks 27th (11.1).
  • Portland is 26-8 when they allow less than 100 points, while Orlando is 13-9.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Magic are 25-32 and the Trail Blazers are 46-22.
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