The Detroit Pistons (37-36) will travel to the Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets (49-23). The Pistons opened as 7-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211.5 points and it will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2019.
Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last game. The Nuggets (1.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 124-88, while the Pistons (10-point underdogs) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 121-114. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Denver game finished 3 points over the projected point total of 209, while the Detroit game finished 16 points over the projected point total of 219.
Detroit had a turnover percentage of 5.9 (better than their season average of 11.8) while Denver did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (15-16; 93.8 percent). Denver was lifted by Nikola Jokic, who recorded 19 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists. Meanwhile, Blake Griffin had a solid performance for Detroit, contributing 24 points, eight assists and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Andre Drummond led the Pistons to a 129-103 win. He notched a double-double with 27 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined for 232 points, which was well over the projected point total of 210, and Detroit covered as a 1.5-point underdog. Detroit out-rebounded Denver. The Pistons had more offensive rebounds (16 vs. 10), defensive rebounds (37 vs. 22) and total rebounds (53 vs. 32).
Of the Pistons’ 73 games, 37 have finished under the O/U total. Detroit heads into the contest with records of 37-36 straight up (SU) and 38-34-1 against the spread (ATS).
Nuggets games have a tendency to finish under the total (56.9 percent). Moreover, Denver is 49-23 SU and 38-34 ATS.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Denver ranks 23rd in possessions per game (100.4) and Detroit is 22nd (100.4).
Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets lead the league with 41.8 rebounds allowed per game while the Pistons are fourth with 43.3 rebounds allowed per game.
- Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.7) while Detroit ranks 25th (22.7).
- The Nuggets rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.8) while the Pistons rank last (9.8).
- Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (28.0) while Denver ranks 15th (32.1).
- Denver ranks 24th in blocks per game (4.6) while Detroit ranks 29th (3.9).
- The Nuggets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (52.7) while the Pistons rank 22nd (45.3).
- The Pistons rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Nuggets rank 15th (7.5).
- Denver ranks first in second chance points per game (15.8) while Detroit ranks 18th (13.0).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 12-2 and Denver is 22-1.
- The Pistons are 34-23 when they reach the century mark, while the Nuggets are 47-17.
- Detroit is 19-18 ATS on the road, while Denver is 23-13 ATS at home.
- The Pistons have 21 unders, 15 overs and 1 push in 37 road games.
- The Nuggets have 18 overs and 18 unders in 36 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pistons are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Detroit has 4 overs and 1 under, while Denver has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 114.6 points per game (6.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average).
- The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 4.6 points.
