The New England Patriots (-4) are heading southwest to battle the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. This important Sunday Night showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC will broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
In what might be an AFC playoff preview, New England is labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Patriots are also receiving -170 moneyline odds while the Ravens are +150. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44. With the Ravens currently getting 4 points, oddsmakers are thinking this has the look of a 20-24 win for the Patriots. It appears that there could be some solid live betting opportunities in this game.
This game’s O/U was initially set at 46.5, but sharp bettors are pushing that number lower.
Each team has been profitable this year as the Patriots have gained 4.0 units while the Ravens are up 1.5 units.
The Patriots have gone 8-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Ravens are 5-2 SU.
The Patriots are looking to stay undefeated following a 27-13 victory over Cleveland last weekTheir defense allowed the Browns to rush for 159 yards on 22 attempts. Nick Chubb had a good day for the Browns in that one with 131 rushing yards on 20 attempts. On the offensive side, Tom Brady completed only 20 passes on 36 attempts for 259 yards and two touchdowns. Sony Michel (74 rushing yards on 21 attempts) led the ground attack in the win while Julian Edelman (eight receptions, 78 yards, two TDs) and James White (four catches, 75 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Baltimore is coming off of a 30-16 win over Seattle back in Week 7. The Ravens defense allowed the Seahawks to run for 106 yards on 26 rush attempts. Chris Carson was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 65 rushing yards on 21 attempts for Seattle. For Baltimore, Lamar Jackson completed nine-of-20 passes for 143 yards. Jackson (116 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and Mark Ingram II (46 yards on 12 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the win as Miles Boykin (two receptions, 55 yards) and Andrews (two catches, 39 yards) led all Baltimore pass-catchers.
New England has run the ball on 42.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 53.9 percent. The Patriots have run for 95.3 yards per game and have 12 scores via handoffs this year. The Ravens are putting up 204.1 rushing yards per game and have 10 total rush TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Ravens ought to have the advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 5.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents. The Patriots have tallied 3.2 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Pats offense has averaged 287.1 yards through the air overall and has 13 passing scores so far. The Ravens have produced 243.6 pass yards per contest and have 12 total pass TDs.
New England seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 85.3 yards and throw for 175.4 yards per game. The Baltimore defense has allowed 276.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 84.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Pats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 1.23 to opposing QBs, while the Ravens have given up a 6.57 ANY/A.
Jackson has completed 115-of-182 passes for 1,414 yards, 11 TDs and five INTs for Baltimore. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.70 for the year and 6.71 across his last two games. In the other huddle, Brady has put up 2,002 passing yards this year, and has completed 169-of-264 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Brady has a 7.27 ANY/A, including 5.99 over the last two outings.
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for New England’s previous game was 43. The under cashed in the team’s 27-13 triumph over Cleveland.
- As a team, New England has averaged 2.8 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 2.5 over its last two.
- Baltimore has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.0 over its past two.
- The Baltimore offense has lost two fumbles this season while New England has lost three.
- Over its last three contests, New England is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Baltimore’s previous matchup was set at 48.5. The under cashed in that 30-16 victory over Seattle.
- In its last three matchups, Baltimore is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Patriots offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ravens have accounted for five such plays.
- The New England defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Baltimore has given up seven such plays.
- The New England offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Baltimore has created 10 such runs.
- The Patriots defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ravens have given up three such runs.
- The New England defensive unit has 31 sacks on the year while Baltimore has just 12.
