The Bills (-2) are set to host the Philadelphia Eagles in Buffalo. FOX owns the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get going at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Week 8 Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Buffalo Bills
In this Sunday game, Buffalo is labeled as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 2 points. The Eagles are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Bills are -130. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it will produce a solid in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43.5 points.
With the game’s over/under originally set at 42, sharp bettors have been siding with the over.
The Eagles are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.4 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.
The surprising Bills are up 3.6 units this season. The team is 4-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-5.
The Eagles have gone 3-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bills are 5-1 SU.
Philadelphia enters this matchup on a two-game unbeaten streak while Buffalo has come up short in its last two in a row. The Eagles dropped one to Dallas 37-10 in a Week 7 blowout where Carson Wentz completed 16 passes for 191 yards, along with a TD and an interception. Jordan Howard (50 rushing yards on 11 attempts) provided the running attack while Dallas Goedert (four receptions, 69 yards, one TD) and Miles Sanders (three catches, 11 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Buffalo just earned a 31-21 win over Miami in Week 7. The defensive unit let the Dolphins run for 109 yards on 30 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Preston Williams had a good showing in the loss, posting 82 yards and a score on six catches for Miami. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 16-of-26 passes for 202 yards and two touchdowns. Frank Gore (55 rushing yards on 11 attempts) spearheaded the running game as John Brown (five receptions, 83 yards, one TD) and Cole Beasley (three catches, 16 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Philadelphia has run the ball on 44.1 percent of its offensive possessions while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 44.9. The Eagles have produced 111.7 rush yards/game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bills are logging 135.8 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Eagles should hold an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has allowed just 40 sacks while the D-line logged 44 sacks. The Bills O-line has given up 41 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 36 occasions.
The Eagles offensive scheme has averaged 239 yards through the air overall and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Bills have recorded 241.8 pass yards per contest and have seven total pass scores.
Philadelphia has let opponents rush for an average of 89.4 yards and pass for 287.9 yards per game. The Buffalo D has allowed 215 yards per game to opposing passers and 91.3 yards per game on the ground. The Bills are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.41 to opponents, while the Eagles have allowed a 6.69 ANY/A.
Offensively, Wentz has put up 1,343 passing yards this year, and has completed 61 percent of his 200 attempts with 11 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Wentz has a 6.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.06 over the last two games.
Josh Allen has completed 95-of-157 passes for 1,105 yards, five TDs and six INTs for Buffalo. His ANY/A stands at 5.12 for the year and 6.67 across his past two games.
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills NFL Pick
SU Winner: Bills, ATS Winner: Bills, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Philadelphia defense has 17 sacks on the year while Buffalo has 13.
- Buffalo has lost three fumbles in 2019 while Philadelphia has lost eight.
- The Eagles offense has created five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bills have put up three such plays.
- The Philadelphia defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Buffalo has given up one such play.
- The Philadelphia offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Buffalo has created five such runs.
- The Eagles defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bills have given up three such runs.
- Philadelphia, as a team, has produced 3.9 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.5 over its last two.
- Buffalo has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.5 over its past two.
