Week 8 Free Pick: Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans

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The Oakland Raiders (+7) are set to face off against the Houston Texans (-7) at NRG Stadium. CBS will broadcast the action and kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders

In this Sunday AFC game, Houston is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Raiders are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Texans are -280. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it’ll result in a reasonable in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 50.5 points.

The line initially opened at -6 while the game’s total was placed originally at 48, so it appears that sharp bettors are siding with both the Texans and the over.

The Raiders have recorded 2.5 units so far and are 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 4-2.

The Texans have gained 0.5 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-3.

The Raiders have gone 3-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Texans are 4-3 SU.

The Raiders fell to Green Bay 42-24 in a Week 7 thumping where their secondary allowed the Packers to air it out for 429 yards and five touchdowns. On the offense, Derek Carr completed 22-of-28 passes for 293 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Josh Jacobs (124 yards on 21 rushes) provided the ground attack while Darren Waller (seven receptions, 126 yards, two TDs) and Keelan Doss (three catches, 54 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Houston just fell 30-23 to Indianapolis in Week 7. Deshaun Watson completed 23-of-34 passes for 308 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Carlos Hyde (35 yards on 12 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game as DeAndre Hopkins (nine receptions, 106 yards, one TD) and Kenny Stills (four catches, 105 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Oakland has run the ball on 46.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Houston has an overall rush percentage of 45.0. The Raiders have run for 137.8 yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Texans are putting up 134.1 rushing yards per game and have nine total rush TDs.

It appears that the Raiders may have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has yielded just 52 sacks while the D-line registered 13 sacks. The Texans O-line has allowed 62 sacks and their defense has forced only 43 sacks.

The Raiders offensive scheme has tallied 241 yards per contest through the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Texans have recorded 278.9 pass yards per contest and have 13 total pass TDs.

Oakland has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 86.7 yards and throw for 301.7 yards per game. The Houston D has allowed 294.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 84.3 yards per game on the ground. The Texans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.12 to opponents, while the Raiders have given up a whopping 9.03 ANY/A.

Offensively, Carr has put up 1,181 passing yards this year, and has connected on 115-of-157 attempts with eight scores through the air and four interceptions. Carr has a 6.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.62 over the past two outings.

In the other locker room, Deshaun Watson has connected on 133-of-193 passes for 1,672 yards, 12 TDs and three INTs. Watson’s ANY/A stands at 7.75 for the season and 5.46 over his last two games.

Oakland Raiders vs. Houston Texans Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Texans, ATS Winner: Texans, O/U: Over

Betting Trends

  • The Over/Under for Oakland’s last game was set at 47.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-24 loss to Green Bay.
  • As a team, Oakland has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.6 over its last two.
  • Houston has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 4.5 over its past two.
  • Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.
  • In its last three matches, Oakland is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Houston’s last game going into it was 46.5. The over cashed in that 30-23 loss to Indianapolis.
  • Over its last three matchups, Houston is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Raiders offense has produced two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Texans have put up six such plays.
  • The Oakland defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Houston has given up four such plays.
  • The Oakland offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Houston has created eight such runs.
  • Both teams have allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Raiders have given up 11 running plays of 10+ yards while the Texans have given up 15 such plays.
  • The Houston defensive unit has registered 17 sacks on the year while Oakland has just 10.