The New Orleans Saints (+3) are heading north to face the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. Kickoff for this keygame is set for 4:25 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
New Orleans is the road underdog in this NFC game and is currently being given 3 points. The Saints are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Bears are -150. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 38.5 points. If Chicago gets behind early, it will likely create a worthy in-game betting scenario.
The O/U has not moved after it was set initially at 38.5. Having said that, the opening line was -4 and early action has leaned in favor of the Saints.
The profitable Saints have gained 5.2 units so far and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 3-3.
The Bears have lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-3.
The Saints have gone 5-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bears are 3-2 SU.
The Saints look to keep it going after a 13-6 victory over Jacksonville in Week 6 where Teddy Bridgewater completed 24 passes for 240 yards and one touchdown. Alvin Kamara (just 31 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the ground attack while Michael Thomas (eight receptions, 89 yards) and Kamara (seven catches, 35 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Chicago narrowly lost a 24-21 game to Oakland. The defense allowed the Raiders to eat up the clock by running for 169 yards on 39 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Josh Jacobs had a solid outing, recording 123 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 26 attempts for Oakland. For Chicago, Chase Daniel completed 22-of-30 passes for 231 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. David Montgomery (25 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Allen Robinson II (seven receptions, 97 yards, two TDs) and Cohen (six catches, 39 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Each of these teams has a similar (58-42 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Saints have rushed for 104.3 yards per game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Bears are totaling 80.6 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.
The Saints offensive scheme has tallied 254.7 yards/contest through the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Bears have recorded 202.8 pass yards per outing and have six total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, New Orleans has allowed 102.8 rush yards and 257.8 pass yards per game. The Chicago D has allowed 257.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 83.0 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.03 to opponents, while the Saints have allowed a 6.75 ANY/A.
Offensively, Bridgewater is up to 775 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 83-of-123 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. Bridgewater has a 5.35 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.10 over the last two outings.
The Saints will likely try to maintain the pace by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. In addition to receiver Michael Thomas (450 receiving yards and one touchdown), Alvin Kamara (311 rush yards, one rush TD, 234 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Latavius Murray (110 rush yards, one rush TD, 61 receiving yards) have really been focal points in the New Orleans offensive scheme.
For the home team, Chase Daniel has connected on 22-of-30 passes for 231 yards, two TDs and two INTs. Daniel’s ANY/A stands at 4.24 for the season and 5.42 over his last two games.
The Bears also prefer to heavily feature their backfield. In addition to Allen Robinson II (300 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), David Montgomery (172 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Tarik Cohen (26 rush yards, 121 receiving yards) have gotten quite a few touches recently.
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Bears, ATS Winner: Saints, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- Chicago has lost zero fumbles this season while New Orleans has let one get away.
- The New Orleans D has sacked opposing QBs 18 times this season. Chicago has produced 17 sacks.
- New Orleans has averaged 4.0 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 3.8 over its last two.
- Chicago has averaged 2.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.3 over its past two.
- In its last three contests, Chicago is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for New Orleans’ last game was set at 42. The under cashed in the team’s 13-6 win over Jacksonville.
- In its last three games, New Orleans is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Chicago’s last game was set at 40. The over cashed in the 24-21 defeat to Oakland.
