The Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs will go toe-to-toe on the grass at Arrowhead Stadium. The opening kickoff for this crucial matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Betting Preview: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
In what has potential to be an AFC postseason preview, Kansas City is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Texans are also receiving +180 moneyline odds while the Chiefs are -220. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 55.5 points, and if one squad can catch a lucky break early, it would likely create a worthwhile live betting opportunity.
Sharp bettors have been siding with both the Texans and the over. The opening line was initially placed at -8 and the over/under was originally only 54.
The Texans are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.1 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3.
The Chiefs have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-2.
The Texans are 3-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Chiefs are 4-1 SU.
The Texans are coming off a resounding 53-32 win over Atlanta last week. The passing game was sharp as Deshaun Watson completed 28-of-33 passes for 426 yards and five touchdowns. Carlos Hyde (only 60 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) and Duke Johnson (59 yards on nine carries) led the running attack in the win while Will Fuller V (14 receptions, 217 yards, three TDs) and DeAndre Hopkins (seven catches, 88 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Kansas City just lost a 19-13 game to Indianapolis in Week 5. The team’s defensive unit let the Colts eat up the clock by rushing for 180 yards on 45 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Marlon Mack had a solid showing in the win, recording 132 rushing yards on 29 attempts for Indianapolis. For Kansas City, Patrick Mahomes completed 22-of-39 passes for 321 yards and one touchdown. Damien Williams (23 rushing yards on nine attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Byron Pringle (six receptions, 103 yards, one TD) and Travis Kelce (four catches, 70 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Houston has run the ball on 44.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas City has a rush percentage of 36.4 percent. The Texans have rushed for 129.4 yards/game and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Chiefs are putting up 88.6 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.
Judging by the early season results, the Texans might hold an edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has generated 5.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Chiefs have tallied 4.0 yards per carry and allowed 5.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Texans offensive scheme has tallied 272.8 yards/game in the air overall and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Chiefs have recorded a superb 366.2 pass yards per contest and also have 11 total pass scores.
Defensively, Houston has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 95 yards and pass for 292.6 yards per game. The Kansas City defense has given up 251.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 155.8 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Texans have given up an ANY/A of 6.55 to opposing QBs, while the Chiefs are yielding an ANY/A of 6.1.
Mahomes has completed 104-of-153 passes for 1,516 yards, 11 TDs and zero INTs. Mahomes’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 10.53 for the season and 7.33 across his last two games. In the other huddle, Watson is up to 1,204 passing yards this season, and has completed 89-of-126 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Watson has a 9.49 ANY/A, including 9.08 over the last two games.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Texans, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The Houston D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 15 times this season. Kansas City has recorded 11 sacks.
- Kansas City has lost five fumbles in 2019 while Houston has lost three.
- The Texans offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Chiefs have put up eight such plays.
- The Houston defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Kansas City has given up one such play.
- The Houston offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Kansas City has created five such runs.
- Both teams have allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Texans have given up 13 running plays of 10+ yards while the Chiefs have given up 19 such plays.
- The Over/Under for Kansas City’s previous game going into it was 55. The under cashed in the team’s 19-13 defeat to Indianapolis.
- In its last three contests, Kansas City is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three matches, Houston is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Houston has won four of its last five games SU, with a six-point loss to Carolina on September 29th accounting for the only defeat over that span.
- The O/U for Houston’s last game was 49.5. The over cashed in the team’s 53-32 win over Atlanta.
- Houston, as a team, has produced 4.5 yards per carry over its past three outings and 5.4 over its last two.
- Kansas City has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.1 over its last two.
