The Broncos (+7) are gearing up to welcome the Los Angeles Rams (-7) to Sports Authority Field at Mile High. This late afternoon game kicks off at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.
Betting Preview: Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Rams
Denver is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 7 points. The Rams are also receiving -280 moneyline odds while the Broncos are +230. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points, and if one side can create a bunch of points early, it’ll likely result in a decent live betting scenario.
The game’s total has moved lower after opening at 53. The original line has yet to change.
The surprising Rams are 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 3-2.
The Broncos have lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 0-4-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-3.
The Rams have gone 5-0 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Broncos are 2-3 SU.
The Rams are hoping to stay undefeated following a 33-31 victory over Seattle in Week 5 where Jared Goff completed 23 passes on 32 attempts for 321 yards, one score and two interceptions. Todd Gurley II (77 rushing yards on 22 attempts, three TDs) mounted the running attack. Cooper Kupp (six receptions, 90 yards, one TD) and Robert Woods (five catches, 92 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Denver just suffered a 34-16 defeat to the Jets last week. The team’s defensive unit let the Jets eat up the clock by rushing for 323 yards on 38 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Isaiah Crowell was outstandingfor the Jets, putting up 219 rushing yards and a score on 15 attempts. For Denver, Case Keenum completed 35-of-51 passes for 377 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Phillip Lindsay (61 yards on 12 rush attempts) handled the running game while Emmanuel Sanders (nine receptions, 72 yards) and Devontae Booker (five catches, 59 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Los Angeles has run the ball on 46.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Denver has an overall rush percentage of 39.0 percent. The Rams have produced 131.2 rush yards/game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Broncos are logging 137.0 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Rams could have an edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has given up only 28 sacks while the D-line registered 48 sacks. The Broncos, on the other hand, have given up 52 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 33 occasions.
The Rams offensive scheme has tallied a ridiculous 345.4 yards per contest through the air overall and has 12 passing scores so far. The Broncos have produced 273.0 pass yards per game and have five total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Los Angeles appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 106.8 rush yards and 247.8 pass yards per game. The Denver D has given up 273.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 139.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rams are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.48 to opposing QBs, while the Broncos have allowed a 7.25 ANY/A.
Goff has been more effective than Keenum recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.62for the year and 11.93 over his last two outings. Keenum’s ANY/A is 5.29 for the year and 5.65 over his past two games.
Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos NFL Pick
SU Winner: Rams, ATS Winner: Broncos, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- Los Angeles has produced 5.01176470588235 yards per carry across its last three games and 5.1 over its last two.
- Denver has averaged 5.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.4 over its last two.
- The Denver offense has lost zero fumbles this season while Los Angeles has lost one.
- The Rams offense has recorded five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have put up three such plays.
- Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards. The Los Angeles defense has given up nine pass plays of 30+ yards while Denver has given up eight such plays.
- The Los Angeles offense has created two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Denver has created four such runs.
- The Rams defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Broncos have given up six such runs.
- The Denver defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. Los Angeles has recorded 10 sacks.
