The Indianapolis Colts (+10) are set to pay a visit to the Kansas City Chiefs (-10) at Arrowhead Stadium. This pivotal Sunday Night Football game kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to NBC.
Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Colts come into this Sunday AFC game as a big dog here and they’re currently getting 10 points. The Colts are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Chiefs are -475. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 57 points, and if one team finds paydirt early, it will likely create a nice live betting scenario.
Sharp bettors have been hammering both the Chiefs and the over. This game’s line initially opened at -9 and the total was originally placed at only 54.
The Colts have lost 1.0 unit so far and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 3-1.
The Chiefs have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.0 units. They’re 3-1 ATS and also own an O/U record of 3-1.
The Colts are 2-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Chiefs are 4-0 SU.
The Colts hope to get back on track after a 31-24 defeat to Oakland in Week 4 where Jacoby Brissett completed just 24-of-46 passes for 265 yards, three scores and one interception. Marlon Mack (39 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the ground attack. Nyheim Hines (six receptions, 39 yards) and Parris Campbell (five catches, 25 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Kansas City just got a 34-30 win over Detroit in Week 4. Patrick Mahomes completed 24-of-42 passes for 315 yards. LeSean McCoy (56 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game while Travis Kelce (seven receptions, 85 yards) and Demarcus Robinson (four catches, 35 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.
Indianapolis has run the ball on 45.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas City has a rush percentage of 38.4 percent. The Colts have produced 132.5 rush yards/game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Chiefs are putting up 101.8 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.
The Colts offense has tallied 227.8 yards per game through the air overall and has 10 passing scores so far. The Chiefs have produced a superb 377.5 pass yards per contest and also have 10 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Indianapolis should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 132.5 yards and throw for 245 yards per game. The Kansas City defense has given up 276.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 149.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Chiefs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.54 to opposing QBs, while the Colts have given up a 7.44 ANY/A.
Offensively, Brissett is up to 601 passing yards this season, and has connected on 61 percent of his 101 attempts with eight scores through the air and only two interceptions. Brissett has a 5.93 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.38 over the last two games.
Look for a balanced approach offensively from Indianapolis in this one. Marlon Mack, Zach Pascal and Eric Ebron have combined to account for 347 total yards and three touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
In the home locker room, Patrick Mahomes has connected on 79-of-119 passes for 1,136 yards, seven TDs and zero INTs. Mahomes’ ANY/A sits at 10.49 for the year and 9.22 over his past two games.
We’re looking for the Chiefs to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. In addition to Travis Kelce (280 receiving yards, one receiving TD this season), LeSean McCoy (160 rush yards, one rush TD, 45 receiving yards) and Darrel Williams (13 rush yards, two rush TDs, 43 receiving yards) have delivered significant production to the Kansas City offense.
These two franchises met last year with the final outcome being a 31-13 victory for Kansas City.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Colts, ATS Winner: Colts, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Indianapolis’ last game was 45.5. The over cashed in the team’s 31-24 loss to Oakland.
- As a team, Indianapolis has averaged 4.0 yards per rush attempt over its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.
- Kansas City has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.3 over its last two.
- Kansas City has lost four fumbles this season while Indianapolis has lost two.
- In its last three matches, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Kansas City’s previous outing was 55. The over cashed in the team’s 34-30 win over Detroit.
- Over its last three matches, Kansas City is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Colts offense has tallied one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Chiefs have accounted for eight such plays.
- Both teams have allowed one pass play of 40+ yards. The Indianapolis defense has given up two pass plays of 30+ yards while Kansas City has given up seven such plays.
- The Indianapolis offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Kansas City has created five such runs.
- The Colts defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Chiefs have given up two such runs.
- The Kansas City defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. Indianapolis has produced nine sacks.
