The Buffalo Bills (+3) are heading south to battle the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on CBS and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans
The Bills approach this Sunday AFC game as the dog here and are currently receiving 3 points. The Bills are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Titans are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 38.5 points, and if one side finds paydirt early on, it will probably produce a nice in-game betting scenario.
The game’s total has swung upward after opening at 38. The original spread (-3) has not changed.
The Bills have gained 2.2 units so far and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 0-4.
The Titans have gained 0.3 units this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-3.
The Bills have gone 3-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Titans are 2-2 SU.
When these two squads faced each other last year, Buffalo got the victory 13-12.
The Bills look to get back in stride after a 16-10 defeat to New England in Week 4. The passing game could’ve been better as the Bills completed 22-of-44 passes for 280 yards and four interceptions. Josh Allen went 13-for-28 for 153 yards and three interceptions while Matt Barkley completed nine-of-16 for 127 yards and one interception. Frank Gore (109 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Cole Beasley (seven receptions, 75 yards) and John Brown (five catches, 69 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Tennessee just got a 24-10 win over Atlanta a week ago. Marcus Mariota completed 18-of-27 passes for 227 yards and three touchdowns. Derrick Henry (100 yards on 27 rush attempts) handled the running game while Corey Davis (five receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Lewis (four catches, four yards) led the receiving corps in the win.
Buffalo has run the ball on 44.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Bills have run for 147.3 yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Titans are totaling 119 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.
Based on the early season results, it appears that the Bills should hold an advantage in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs has produced 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.1 YPC to opponents. The Titans have tallied 4.3 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Bills offense has logged 257.5 yards per game through the air overall and has three passing TDs so far. The Titans have put up 233.3 pass yards per contest and have seven total pass scores.
Defensively, Buffalo should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 84.3 yards and throw for 206.3 yards per game. The Tennessee D has given up 258 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.70 to opponents, while the Titans have given up a 5.39 ANY/A.
Offensively, Allen is up to 660 passing yards this season, and has completed 59 percent of his 95 attempts with two passing scores and five interceptions. He has a 4.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.94 over the last two outings.
Look for a balanced approach offensively from Buffalo in this one. Frank Gore (197 rushing yards, one rush TD this season), Dawson Knox (77 receiving yards) and John Brown (264 receiving yards, one TD) have each played significant roles of late.
Marcus Mariota has connected on 51-of-79 passes for 629 yards, seven TDs and zero INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at 8.07 for the season and 7.05 across his past two games.
Derrick Henry (266 rushing yards, two rush TDs, one receiving touchdown on the year), Corey Davis (129 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Adam Humphries (19 receiving yards) have combined to account for 397 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the last two games.
Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Bills, O/U: Under
Betting Trends
- The O/U for Buffalo’s last game was 41.5. The under cashed in the team’s 16-10 defeat to New England.
- Buffalo, as a team, has rushed for 5.0 yards per attempt over its past three games and 5.3 over its last two.
- Tennessee has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 3.8 over its last two.
- Tennessee has lost one fumble this season while Buffalo has let three get away.
- In its last three matches, Buffalo is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Tennessee’s last game was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 24-10 victory over Atlanta.
- Over its last three contests, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Bills offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Titans have put up five such plays.
- Both defenses have allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards and three pass plays of 30+ yards.
- The Buffalo offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created zero such runs.
- Both teams have allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Bills have given up 12 running plays of 10+ yards while the Titans have given up 11 such plays.
- The Tennessee D has recorded 13 sacks on the year while Buffalo has just seven.
