Week 3 Free Pick – Chicago Bears vs. Washington Redskins

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The Chicago Bears (-3.5) are set to take on the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field. This Monday Night game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN.

Thursday NightBetting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. Chicago Bears

Washington is entering this NFC game as the underdog and is currently getting 3.5 points. The Bears are also receiving -160 moneyline odds while the Redskins are +140. It appears that there could be multiple good live betting possibilities for this showdown, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 42 points.

With the line opening at 4 and the over/under set initially at 42.5, bookmakers have moved the odds slightly.

The Bears are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.5 units this season. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-2.

The Redskins are down 2.0 units in 2019. The team is 1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-0.

The Bears have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Redskins are 0-2 SU.

The Bears just got a 16-14 win over Denver in Week 2. Mitchell Trubisky completed 16 passes for just 120 yards. David Montgomery (just 62 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Allen Robinson II (four receptions, 41 yards) and Adam Shaheen (three catches, 24 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Back in Week 2, Dallas knocked off this Washington team by a score of 31-21. The Redskins defense allowed the Cowboys to eat up the clock by rushing for 213 yards on 34 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Ezekiel Elliott had a solid outing in the win for Dallas, posting 111 rushing yards and a score on 23 attempts. For Washington, Case Keenum completed 26-of-37 passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns. Adrian Peterson (25 rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat while Terry McLaurin (five receptions, 62 yards, one TD) and Chris Thompson (five catches, 48 yards) led the receiving attack.

Chicago’s run the ball on 37.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has an overall rush percentage of 27 percent. The Bears have run for 99.5 yards per game and have just a single touchdown via handoffs this year. The Redskins are totaling 37.5 rush yards per game and have just one rushing TD.

Based on the early season results, it appears that the Bears may hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their backfield has generated 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.0 YPC to opponents. The Redskins have recorded 2.5 yards per carry and given up 5.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Bears offensive scheme has averaged 174 yards through the air overall and has yet to record a passing score so far. The Redskins have put up 300.5 pass yards per game and have five total pass TD.

Chicago appears to have an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 68.5 yards and throw for 247.5 yards per game. The Washington defense has allowed 291 yards per game to opposing passers and 168.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.09 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins have given up an ugly 9.14 ANY/A.

Keenum likely has the advantage over Trubisky in this matchup. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.53 for the season and 8.17 over his last two games while Trubisky’s ANY/A is 4.44 (and 3.68 over the past two outings).

Chicago Bears vs. Washington Redskins Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Chicago defensive unit has seven sacks on the year while Washington has two.
  • Both teams have yet to lose a fumble this season.
  • The Bears offense has produced zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Redskins have put up two such plays.
  • The Chicago defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Washington has given up three such plays.
  • The Chicago offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Washington has created zero such runs.
  • The Bears defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Redskins have given up two such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Washington’s last outing was set at 46. The over cashed in the 31-21 loss to Dallas.
  • The O/U for Chicago’s last game was set at 40.5. The under cashed in the team’s 16-14 triumph over Denver.