In the final iteration of the 2019 regular season, the Oakland Raiders (+4) are set to take on their AFC West rival Denver Broncos (-4) at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. This late afternoon game will begin at 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Week 17 Betting Preview: Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos
In this Sunday AFC matchup, Denver has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 4 points. The Raiders are also receiving +150 moneyline odds while the Broncos are -170. It appears that there could be multiple solid live betting possibilities during the showdown, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 41 points.
This matchup’s betting odds have shifted slightly from where they first opened. The line opened at -5 while the game’s O/U was set initially at 41.5.
The Raiders have gained 0.6 units so far in 2019 and are 7-8 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 7-8.
The Broncos are down 0.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 9-6 ATS and also have an O/U record of 7-8.
The Raiders have gone 7-8 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against AFC West opponents. The Broncos are 6-9 SU overall and 2-3 SU against divisional foes.
The Raiders just got a 24-17 victory over the Chargers last week where Derek Carr completed 26-of-30 passes for 291 yards and one touchdown. DeAndre Washington (85 rushing yards on 23 attempts, one TD) provided the running attack while Hunter Renfrow (seven receptions, 107 yards, one TD) and Richard (four catches, 18 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Denver just put together a 27-17 win over Detroit last week. Drew Lock completed 25-of-33 passes for 192 yards and one touchdown. Phillip Lindsay (109 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as DaeSean Hamilton (six receptions, 65 yards, one TD) and Tim Patrick (five catches, 48 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Oakland has run the ball on 46.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Denver has a rush percentage of 44.5 percent. The Raiders have run for 119.7 yards/game (including 105.2 per game against West opponents) and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The Broncos are putting up 106.1 rush yards per game (98.6 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.
Based on the results so far, it seems like the Raiders should own an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has produced 4.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Broncos have registered 4.2 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.
The Raiders offense has averaged 247.9 yards in the air overall (237.6 per game against conference opposition) and has 21 passing TDs so far. The Broncos have put up 214.9 pass yards per outing (201 against AFC foes) and have 15 total pass scores.
Defensively, Oakland has allowed 100 rush yards and 278.5 pass yards per game. The Denver defense has given up 228.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.4 yards per game on the ground. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.93 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a 7.91 ANY/A.
Offensively, Carr has put up 3,396 passing yards on the year, and has completed 72 percent of his 431 attempts with 19 passing scores and eight interceptions. He’s got a 7.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.44 over the last two games.
We expect the Oakland offense to mix it up in this one. Darren Waller, DeAndre Washington and Tyrell Williams have combined for 414 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the last two outings.
Drew Lock has completed 65-of-88 passes for 635 yards, six TDs and two INTs for Denver. His ANY/A sits at 7.38 for the season and 4.88 over his past two games.
Phillip Lindsay (926 rushing yards, seven rush TDs on the year), Courtland Sutton (981 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) and DaeSean Hamilton (219 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have combined for 348 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the past two games.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos Betting Pick
SU Winner: Broncos, ATS Winner: Broncos, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Oakland’s last game was set at 45. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 win over the Chargers.
- As a team, Oakland has produced 3.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.
- Denver has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its last two.
- The Denver offense has lost five fumbles this season while Oakland has let eight get away.
- Over its last three matches, Oakland is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Denver’s last outing was 40. The over cashed in the 27-17 victory over Detroit.
- In its last three matchups, Denver is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Denver has won four of its last five games SU, with a -20-point defeat to Kansas City on December 15th representing the one loss over that span.
- The Raiders offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have accounted for 10 such plays.
- The Oakland defense has allowed 16 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Denver has given up nine such plays.
- The Oakland offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Denver has created seven such runs.
- The Raiders defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Broncos have given up six such runs.
- The Denver defense has sacked opposing QBs 38 times this season. Oakland has recorded just 30 sacks.
