In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Bills (-1) are gearing up to host the New York Jets at New Era Field. This AFC East game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
Buffalo is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 1 point. The Jets are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Bills are -115. If one team can get out in front early on it’ll produce a nice live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 37 points.
The game’s total has not moved after it was set initially at 37. Having said that, the line opened at -5 and has recently moved up to -1.
The Jets are 6-9 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.1 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 7-8.
The Bills have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 5.7 units. The team is 9-4-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-11.
The Jets are just 6-9 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against AFC East opponents. The Bills are 10-5 SU overall and 3-2 SU versus divisional foes.
The Jets are coming off a 16-10 win over Pittsburgh in Week 16. The Jets defensive unit did its part in the win, limiting the Steelers to just 213 passing yards and 75 rushing yards. On the offense, Sam Darnold completed 16-of-26 passes for only 183 yards and one touchdown. Le’Veon Bell (72 rushing yards on 25 attempts) led the ground attack. Jamison Crowder (four receptions, 60 yards) and Bell (four catches, 21 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Buffalo just suffered a 24-17 loss to New England in Week 16. Josh Allen completed 13-of-26 passes for 208 yards and two touchdowns. Devin Singletary (46 yards on 15 rush attempts) handled the running attack as Cole Beasley (seven receptions, 108 yards) and Isaiah McKenzie (two catches, 11 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
New York’s run the ball on 42.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Jets have produced 78.1 rush yards per game (including 76 per game versus East opponents) and have six scores on the ground this year. The Bills are totaling 132.1 rush yards per game (128 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Bills could have the advantage in the trenches, as their offensive line has yielded only 39 sacks while the D-line has logged 42 sacks. The Jets offensive line has given up 50 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing signal-callerss just 34 times.
The Jets offense has logged 216.3 yards per game through the air overall (177.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Bills have produced 215.9 pass yards per outing (240 against AFC foes) and have 21 total pass TDs.
New York has let opponents run for an average of 87.9 yards and throw for 250.9 yards per game. The Buffalo D has allowed 214.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.2 yards per game on the ground. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.71 to opponents, while the Jets have given up a 6.21 ANY/A.
Offensively, Darnold is up to 2,607 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 62 percent of his 373 attempts with 16 scores through the air and 11 interceptions. He has a 5.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.49 over the last two games.
Le’Veon Bell (661 rushing yards, three rush TDs, one receiving touchdown on the year), Jamison Crowder (677 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Robby Anderson (695 receiving yards, five TDs) have all played big roles lately.
For the home team, Josh Allen has completed 255-of-431 passes for 2,945 yards, 19 TDs and eight INTs. Allen’s ANY/A sits at 5.85 for the year and 5.75 over his last two outings.
John Brown (961 receiving yards, six receiving touchdowns on the year), Devin Singletary (688 rush yards, two rush TDs, two receiving TDs) and Cole Beasley (772 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) have combined for 406 total yards the last couple of games.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Bills, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for New York’s previous game was 36.5. The under cashed in the team’s 16-10 victory over Pittsburgh.
- As a team, New York has averaged 3.4 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.
- Buffalo has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.6 over its past two.
- The Buffalo offense has lost six fumbles this season while New York has lost nine.
- Over its last three contests, New York is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last match was set at 39. The over cashed in the 24-17 defeat to New England.
- In its last three matchups, Buffalo is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Jets offense has created six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bills have accounted for seven such plays.
- The New York defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up four such plays.
- The New York offense has created one rushing play of 20+ yards, while Buffalo has created 11 such runs.
- The Jets defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Bills have given up 11 such runs.
- The Buffalo D has created 42 sacks on the year while New York has just 34.
