The Jacksonville Jaguars (+5) aren’t traveling far to face the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. This early afternoon matchup starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins
In this Sunday AFC game, Miami is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put up $200 to win $100 back on the Dolphins (-200). The Jaguars are getting +170 moneyline odds. If one side gets out in front early it will result in a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 39.5 points.
The underwhelming Jaguars are 4-8-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 12.5 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 6-8.
The Dolphins are up 3.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 8-6 ATS and have an even O/U record of 7-7.
The Jaguars are 4-10 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Dolphins are 7-7 SU.
The Jags look to get back on track after a narrow 16-13 defeat to Washington in Week 15 where Cody Kessler completed only nine passes on 17 attempts for 57 yards and one interception. Leonard Fournette (46 rushing yards on 11 attempts) and the signal-caller Kessler (68 yards on six carries) spearheaded the ground attack. Dede Westbrook (three receptions, 21 yards) and Fournette (three catches, 18 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Back in Week 15, Minnesota got the win against this Miami team by a score of 41-17. The Dolphins defense allowed the Vikings to run for 220 yards on 40 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Dalvin Cook was a force to be reckoned with, recording 136 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts for Minnesota. For Miami, Ryan Tannehill completed 11-of-24 passes for 108 yards. Kalen Ballage (123 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Danny Amendola (three receptions, 30 yards) and Kenyan Drake (three catches, 28 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Jacksonville’s run the ball on 43.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Miami has an overall rush percentage of 45.0. The Jaguars have rushed for 111.9 yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dolphins are totaling 112.6 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
The Jags offensive scheme has averaged 227.1 yards through the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Dolphins have recorded 215.2 pass yards per contest and have 24 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Jacksonville should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 119.6 yards and pass for 212.4 yards per game. The Miami D has allowed 269.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 145.2 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.65 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins have allowed a 6.76 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Kessler has put up 363 yards this year, and has connected on 68 percent of his 71 attempts with one passing scores and two interceptions. Kessler’s got a 2.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.71 over the last two outings.
Ryan Tannehill has connected on 129-of-202 passes for 1,421 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for Miami. His ANY/A sits at 5.38 for the year and 5.82 across his last two games.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Dolphins, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Miami offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Jacksonville has let 14 get away.
- The Jacksonville D has 28 sacks on the year while Miami has 24.
- Jacksonville has produced 4.3 yards per carry over its past three outings and 5.0 over its last two.
- Miami has averaged 6.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 8.4 over its last two.
- Jacksonville has lost 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a six-point victory over Indianapolis on December 2nd representing the only win over that stretch.
