Week 16 Free Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets

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The Jets (+3) are gearing up to welcome the Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) to New York. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on CBS.

Betting Preview: New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

In this Sunday AFC game, Pittsburgh is labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Steelers are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Jets are +130. This AFC tilt should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 38.5 points.

The Steelers are 7-5-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.5 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 3-11.

The Jets have lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-9 ATS and own an even O/U record of 7-7.

The Steelers have gone 8-6 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Jets are 5-9 SU.

The Steelers fell to Buffalo 17-10 in a Week 15 contest where their defense allowed the Bills to run for 130 yards on 38 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. On the offense, Devlin Hodges completed 23-of-38 passes for 202 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions. James Conner (42 rushing yards on eight attempts) led the ground attack while Washington (five receptions, 83 yards) and Diontae Johnson (five catches, 62 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

New York just lost a fairly brutal 42-21 game to Baltimore in Week 15. Sam Darnold completed 18-of-32 passes for 218 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Le’Veon Bell (87 rushing yards on 21 attempts) handled the running game as Jamison Crowder (six receptions, 90 yards, two TDs) and Robby Anderson (four catches, 66 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Pittsburgh has run the ball on 43.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 41.4 percent. The Steelers have rushed for 91.5 yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Jets are totaling 77.6 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Steelers could own the advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has given up only 24 sacks while the D-line logged 52 sacks. The Jets, on the other hand, have allowed 37 sacks and their defense has forced only 39 sacks.

The Steelers offensive scheme has averaged 207.6 yards in the air overall and has 17 passing scores so far. The Jets have recorded 218.6 pass yards per game and also have 17 total pass TDs.

Pittsburgh should have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 103.2 yards and pass for 226.9 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 253.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 88.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Steelers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.73 to opposing QBs, while the Jets have given up a 6.46 ANY/A.

Offensively, Hodges is up to 732 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 64-of-99 attempts with four passing scores and six interceptions. He has a 4.66 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 2.70 over the last two outings.

In the home locker room, Sam Darnold has completed 214-of-343 passes for 2,372 yards, 15 TDs and 11 INTs. Darnold’s ANY/A sits at 5.38 for the season and 6.56 across his last two games.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Jets, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • New York has lost eight fumbles this season while Pittsburgh has lost nine.
  • The Pittsburgh D has 49 sacks on the year while New York has just 30.
  • Pittsburgh has produced 3.8 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.8 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.8 over its last two.