The Chicago Bears (-3.5) are flying west to face the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff for this game is pegged for 4:05 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears
San Francisco is the home underdog in this NFC game and is currently being given 3.5 points. The Bears are also receiving -160 moneyline odds while the 49ers are +140. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43 points. Judging by how things are shaking out, there should be some good live betting opportunities for this game.
The line originally opened at 5 and the over/under was initially 44, so it seems that the sharp action is siding with both the Niners and the under.
The Bears have gained 4.0 units so far in 2018 and are 10-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 8-6.
The 49ers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 6.7 units. The team is 5-9 ATS and the over’s hit in eight of its games.
The Bears have gone 10-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the 49ers are 4-10 SU.
Each team enters the matchup on a two-game winning streak. The Bears are coming off a 24-17 win over Green Bay last week. Mitchell Trubisky completed 20-of-28 passes for 235 yards and two touchdowns. Jordan Howard (just 60 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Cohen (five receptions, 31 yards, one TD) and Trey Burton (four catches, 36 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.
The San Francisco Niners just earned a 26-23 win over Seattle a week ago. The defense allowed the Seahawks to run for 168 yards on 35 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Chris Carson was a bright spot in the defeat for Seattle, recording 119 rushing yards and a score on 22 attempts. For San Francisco, Nick Mullens completed 20-of-29 passes for 275 yards and one touchdown. Matt Breida (50 yards on 17 rush attempts) mounted the running game while Dante Pettis (five receptions, 83 yards) and Breida (five catches, 46 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.
Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Chicago has run the ball on 46.9 percent of its offensive possessions while San Francisco has an overall rush percentage of 45.6. The Bears have rushed for 119.7 yards/game and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Niners are putting up 123.4 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Bears ought to hold an edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts, since their offensive line has yielded only 39 sacks while their D-line registered 42 sacks. The 49ers offensive line has given up 43 sacks and their defense has recorded only 30 sacks.
The Bears offense has averaged 238.4 yards in the air overall and has 27 passing TDs so far. The Niners have put up 266.0 pass yards per outing and have 23 total pass scores.
Defensively, Chicago has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 83.6 yards and throw for 248.6 yards per game. The San Francisco defense has allowed 249.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.1 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.13 to opposing QBs, while the Niners have allowed a 7.31 ANY/A.
Offensively, Trubisky is up to 2,704 passing yards this year. He’s completed 230-of-349 attempts with 22 passing scores and nine interceptions. He’s got a 7.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.28 over the past two games.
Nick Mullens has managed to complete 111-of-170 passes for 1,422 yards, eight TDs and five INTs for San Francisco. His ANY/A sits at 7.13 for the year and 8.49 over his past two outings.
When these two franchises met last year, San Francisco got the victory 15-14.
Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Bears, ATS Winner: Bears, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Bears offense has created nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the 49ers have accounted for 11 such plays.
- The Chicago defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while San Francisco has given up eight such plays.
- The Chicago offense has created 16 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while San Francisco has created 13 such runs.
- The Bears defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the 49ers have given up 11 such runs.
- The Chicago defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 45 times this year. San Francisco has produced just 34 sacks.
- Chicago has rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt over its past three games and 4.5 over its last two.
- San Francisco has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
- Over its last three contests, San Francisco is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Chicago’s last game was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 victory over Green Bay.
- In its last three games, Chicago is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for San Francisco’s last game going into it was 44. The over cashed in that 26-23 triumph over Seattle.
- Chicago has won eight of its last nine games SU, with a December 2nd defeat to New York representing the only loss over that stretch.
