The Titans (-3) are gearing up to welcome their AFC South rival Houston Texans to Nissan Stadium. CBS has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
In a game featuring two squads that could very well meet again in the AFC playoffs, Tennessee is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Texans are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Titans are -150. There should be multiple good in-game betting possibilities in this showdown, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 49.5 points.
This game’s O/U was initially set at 47.5, but the over has gotten the majority of the early sharp action.
The Texans are 6-7 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 6-7.
The Titans are up 3.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-5-1 ATS and eight of their games have gone over the total.
The Texans have gone 8-5 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against AFC South opponents. The Titans are 8-5 SU overall and 2-2 SU versus divisional foes.
The Texans fell to Denver 38-24 in a Week 14 game where their secondary allowed the Broncos to air it out for 309 yards and three touchdowns. On the offensive side, Deshaun Watson completed just 28-of-50 passes for 292 yards, one score and two interceptions. Carlos Hyde (73 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the ground attack. DeAndre Hopkins (seven receptions, 120 yards, one TD) and Duke Johnson (six catches, 40 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Tennessee enter this one having just earned a 42-21 win over Oakland a week ago. Ryan Tannehill completed 21-of-27 passes for 391 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Derrick Henry (103 yards on 18 rush attempts, two TDs) mounted the running game as A.J. Brown (five receptions, 153 yards, two TDs) and Tajae Sharpe (four catches, 25 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Houston has run the ball on 44.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 49.2 percent. The Texans have produced 130.2 rush yards per game (including 135.3 per game against South opponents) and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The Titans are putting up 128.2 rushing yards per game (147 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
The Texans offensive scheme has averaged 263.9 yards through the air overall (241.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 25 passing TDs so far. The Titans have recorded 244.8 pass yards per contest (225 in the AFC) and have 22 total pass scores.
Houston has let opponents rush for an average of 109.5 yards and pass for 281.2 yards per game. The Tennessee defense has allowed 276.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 101.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Titans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.2 to opposing QBs, while the Texans have given up a 7.31 ANY/A.
Tannehill has been more effective than Watson of late. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.60 for the season and 10.62 over his last two games while Watson’s ANY/A is 6.72 and 6.02 over the last two games.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans Free Betting Pick
SU Winner: Texans, ATS Winner: Texans, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Tennessee defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 35 times this year. Houston has registered just 26 sacks.
- Tennessee has lost eight fumbles in 2019 while Houston has let seven get away.
- The Texans offense has produced 10 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Titans have accounted for 11 such plays.
- The Houston defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tennessee has given up seven such plays.
- The Houston offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created nine such runs.
- The Texans defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Titans have given up five such runs.
- The O/U for Tennessee’s last outing was set at 46. The over cashed in that 42-21 triumph over Oakland.
- In its last three matchups, Tennessee is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three games, Houston is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Tennessee has won seven of its last eight games SU, with a -10-point loss to Carolina on November 3rd representing the one defeat over that span.
- The Over/Under for Houston’s last game going into it was 42.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-24 defeat to Denver.
- As a team, Houston has averaged 4.1 yards per carry across its last three outings and 4.1 over its last two.
- Tennessee has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.1 over its past two.
