The Miami Dolphins (+6) are making a trip north to face their AFC East nemesis New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on CBS.
Week 14 Betting Preview: New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
In this Sunday AFC game, New York has been tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Dolphins are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Jets are -230. There should be some good in-game betting possibilities for this matchup, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 44 points.
This game’s total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 44. Having said that, the opening line was -8 so square bettors are hammering the Dolphins.
The Dolphins have gained 2.4 units so far in 2019 and are 6-6 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 6-6.
The Jets have lost 2.4 units this season. The team is 5-7 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 6-6.
The Dolphins are 3-9 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against AFC East opponents. The Jets are 4-8 SU overall and 0-4 SU against divisional foes.
The Dolphins just got a 37-31 win over Philadelphia last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 27-of-39 passes for 365 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Patrick Laird (five rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack. DeVante Parker (seven receptions, 159 yards, two TDs) and Mike Gesicki (five catches, 79 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
New York just fell 22-6 to Cincinnati in Week 13. Sam Darnold completed 28-of-48 passes for 239 yards. Le’Veon Bell (32 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the running game while Robby Anderson (seven receptions, 101 yards) and Ryan Griffin (five catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Miami has run the ball on 35.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has an overall rush percentage of 40.7 percent. The Dolphins have rushed for 62.8 yards/game (including 56 per game versus East opponents) and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jets are averaging 72.6 rush yards per game (67 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Jets ought to own the edge when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, as their running backs has produced 3.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Dolphins have recorded 3.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.7 to opponents.
The Dolphins offense has averaged 236.2 yards in the air overall (269.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing scores so far. The Jets have recorded 214.4 pass yards per game (155 in the AFC) and have 13 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Miami has allowed 143.5 rush yards and 265.2 pass yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 257.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 75.3 yards per game on the ground. The Jets are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.27 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins have given up an 8.01 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Fitzpatrick is up to 2,052 yards this year. He’s connected on 187-of-292 attempts with 11 scores through the air and nine interceptions. Fitzpatrick has a 5.42 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.96 over the last two games.
For the home team, Sam Darnold has connected on 176-of-282 passes for 1,839 yards, 11 TDs and 10 INTs. Darnold’s ANY/A sits at 4.68 for the season and 6.85 over his past two games.
Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Dolphins, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The New York defensive unit has notched 27 sacks on the year while Miami has just 16.
- Both offenses have lost seven fumbles this season.
- The Dolphins offense has produced six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jets have put up four such plays.
- The Miami defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while New York has given up six such plays.
- Both teams have produced one rushing play of 20+ yards. The Miami offense has recorded 14 running plays of 10+ yards while New York has accounted for 18 such plays.
- The Dolphins defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jets have given up three such runs.
- The O/U for New York’s previous matchup was set at 43.5. The under cashed in that 22-6 loss to Cincinnati.
- In its last three matchups, New York is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three matchups, Miami is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Miami’s last game was set at 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 37-31 win over Philadelphia.
- Miami, as a team, has produced 3.3 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.8 over its last two.
- New York has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.2 over its last two.
