Week 14 Free ATS Pick: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

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The Baltimore Ravens (-6) and Buffalo Bills will face off on the turf of New Era Field. This critical early afternoon matchup starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to televise the action.

Week 14 Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens

In a game between two squads that could very well meet again in the AFC playoffs, Baltimore is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Ravens are also receiving -230 moneyline odds while the Bills are +190. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points, and multiple good live betting scenarios may exist during this contest.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Bills. The opening line was originally placed at 7 while the O/U was initially 43.

Each team has been profitable this year as the Ravens have gained 6.8 units while the Bills are ahead 6.7 units.

The Ravens are 10-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bills are 9-3 SU.

The Ravens hope to keep it rolling after a 20-17 victory over San Francisco in Week 13. Lamar Jackson completed 14 passes for just 105 yards and one touchdown. Jackson (101 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Mark Ingram II (59 yards on 15 carries). Andrews (three receptions, 50 yards, one TD) and Hayden Hurst (three catches, 21 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Buffalo just got a 26-15 win over Dallas last week. The team’s defense allowed the Cowboys to pass for 355 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 103 yards. Ezekiel Elliott had a productive showing in the loss for Dallas, recording 71 rushing yards on 12 attempts, along with 66 yards on seven catches. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 19-of-24 passes for 231 yards and one touchdown. Devin Singletary (63 yards on 14 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Allen (43 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the running game as Cole Beasley (six receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and John Brown (three catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Baltimore has run the ball on 56.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Ravens have produced 207.8 rush yards/game and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bills are logging 137.9 rush yards per game and have 12 total rushing TDs.

The Ravens offense has tallied 221.6 yards per contest through the air overall and has 26 passing TDs so far. The Bills have put up 228.8 pass yards per game and have 17 total pass scores.

Defensively, Baltimore has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 94.9 yards and pass for 244.3 yards per game. The Buffalo defense has allowed 217 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.3 yards per game on the ground. The Bills are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.74 to opponents, while the Ravens have allowed a 5.54 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Jackson has put up 2,363 yards on the year, and has completed 199-of-302 attempts with 20 passing scores and only five interceptions. He’s got a 7.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.37 over the last two games.

In the hosts’ locker room, Josh Allen has completed 210-of-341 passes for 2,406 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs. Allen’s ANY/A sits at 6.05 for the year and 7.39 across his last two outings.

These two squads met a year ago with the final outcome being a 47-3 win for Baltimore.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills NFL Pick

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Buffalo defense has sacked opposing QBs 37 times this season. Baltimore has registered just 27 sacks.
  • Buffalo has lost four fumbles in 2019 while Baltimore has lost five.
  • The Ravens offense has registered seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bills have put up five such plays.
  • The Baltimore defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up three such plays.
  • The Baltimore offense has created 16 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Buffalo has created 10 such runs.
  • The Ravens defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bills have given up 10 such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last game was set at 46.5. The under cashed in that 26-15 victory over Dallas.
  • Over its last three games, Buffalo is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three matches, Baltimore is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Baltimore’s last game was set at 45.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-17 win over San Francisco.
  • Baltimore, as a team, has produced 5.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its last two.
  • Buffalo has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.5 over its past two.