The San Francisco 49ers (+3) are heading across the country to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and you can tune in to the action on FOX.
Week 12 Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is getting picked to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this NFC matchup. The 49ers are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Buccaneers are -150. If one team can get out in front in the early stages it would create a worthwhile live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 55 points.
The over has received most of the recent sharp action. The game’s total was placed originally at 54.
The underwhelming 49ers are 3-7 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 7.5 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 6-4.
The Buccaneers are down 2.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-6-1 ATS and eight of their games have gone over the total.
The 49ers have gone 2-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Buccaneers are 3-7 SU.
The 49ers look to get back on track after a 27-23 defeat to the Giants in Week 10. Nick Mullens completed 27 passes for 250 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Matt Breida (101 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while George Kittle (nine receptions, 83 yards) and Marquise Goodwin (four catches, 69 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Tampa Bay narrowly dropped a 38-35 game to the Giants in Week 11. As a group, the team collectively completed 25-of-37 passes for 366 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Ryan Fitzpatrick went 13-for-21 for 167 yards and three interceptions while Jameis Winston was 12-of-16 for 199 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Peyton Barber (106 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Mike Evans (six receptions, 120 yards, one TD) and O.J. Howard (five catches, 78 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
San Francisco’s run the ball on 47.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tampa Bay has a rush percentage of 37.3 percent. The 49ers have rushed for 133.6 yards/game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bucs are totaling 97.5 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
Judging by the numbers so far, it appears that the 49ers might have an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has generated 4.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.1 YPC to opponents. The Buccaneers have ran for 4.0 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.5 to opponents.
The Niners offensive scheme has logged 248.2 yards/contest through the air overall and has 17 passing scores so far. The Bucs have produced an astonishing 374.6 pass yards per game and have 25 total pass TDs.
San Francisco appears to have an edge in both defensive facets. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 102.2 yards and throw for 257.1 yards per game. The Tampa Bay D has allowed 298.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 113.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.22 to opposing QBs, while the Bucs have given up a staggering 9.08 ANY/A.
Fitzpatrick has managed to complete 135-of-205 passes for 1,960 yards, 17 TDs and 10 INTs for Tampa Bay. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.21 for the year and 5.12 over his last two outings. In the other locker room, Mullens has amassed 250 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 27-of-39 attempts with one passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Mullens has a 4.62 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 8.23 over the last two games.
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Free NFL Pick
SU Winner: Buccaneers, ATS Winner: Buccaneers, O/U: Under
Betting Trends
- Each team defense has tallied 25 sacks this year.
- The Tampa Bay offense has lost six fumbles this season while San Francisco has let eight get away.
- The 49ers offense has recorded seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buccaneers have put up 11 such plays.
- Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more. The San Francisco defense has given up 12 pass plays of 30+ yards while Tampa Bay has given up 18 such plays.
- The San Francisco offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tampa Bay has created four such runs.
- The 49ers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Buccaneers have given up 10 such runs.
- The Over/Under for Tampa Bay’s previous game going into it was 54. The over cashed in the 38-35 loss to the Giants.
- Over its last three matchups, Tampa Bay is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three contests, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Tampa Bay has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a three-point victory over Cleveland on October 21st representing its one win over that stretch.
- The O/U for San Francisco’s previous game was set at 45. The over cashed in the team’s 27-23 loss to the Giants.
- San Francisco has rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt across its last three games and 4.4 over its last two.
- Tampa Bay has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.7 over its last two.
