The Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) are heading west to visit the Denver Broncos at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. CBS will broadcast the action and kickoff will take place at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Week 12 Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos
In this Sunday AFC game, Pittsburgh is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Steelers are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Broncos are +130. Multiple solid live betting scenarios might exist during the game, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.
With the line opening at 3.5 and the O/U placed initially at 47.5, betting odds have shifted slightly.
The surprising Steelers are 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 4.0 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 6-4.
The Broncos have lost 0.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-7.
The Steelers are 7-2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Broncos are 4-6 SU.
The Steelers just pulled off a 20-16 win over Jacksonville in Week 11. The passing attack could’ve been better as Ben Roethlisberger completed 27 passes for 314 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. James Conner (25 yards on nine rush attempts) led the ground attack. JuJu Smith-Schuster (eight receptions, 104 yards) and Conner (six catches, 24 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Denver just put together a 23-22 win over the Chargers in Week 11. Case Keenum completed 19-of-32 passes for 205 yards. Phillip Lindsay (79 rushing yards on 11 attempts, two TDs) handled the running game as Emmanuel Sanders (four receptions, 56 yards) and Lindsay (four catches, 27 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Pittsburgh’s run the ball on 35.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Denver has a rush percentage of 39.7 percent. The Steelers have produced 97.7 rush yards per game and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Broncos are putting up 124.8 rush yards per game and have 13 total rushing TDs.
The Steelers offensive scheme has averaged 322.1 yards through the air overall and has 23 passing TDs so far. The Broncos have put up 264.5 pass yards per outing and have 12 total pass scores.
Defensively, Pittsburgh appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 99.6 rush yards and 252.6 pass yards per game. The Denver defense has allowed 267.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 127.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Steelers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.88 to opponents, while the Broncos have given up a 6.43 ANY/A.
Roethlisberger has been more effective than Keenum lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.67for the season and 8.32 over his last two outings. Keenum’s ANY/A is 5.58 for the season and 6.55 over his last two outings.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos Free NFL Pick
SU Winner: Broncos, ATS Winner: Broncos, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Pittsburgh’s previous game was 47. The under cashed in the team’s 20-16 victory over Jacksonville.
- Pittsburgh, as a team, has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
- Denver has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.7 over its past two.
- The Denver offense has lost two fumbles this season while Pittsburgh has lost five.
- In its last three matches, Pittsburgh is 2-0-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Denver’s last match was set at 47. The under cashed in the 23-22 victory over the Chargers.
- In its last three games, Denver is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Steelers offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have accounted for eight such plays.
- The Pittsburgh defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Denver has given up six such plays.
- The Pittsburgh offense has created eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Denver has created nine such runs.
- The Steelers defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Broncos have given up 11 such runs.
- The Pittsburgh D has 37 sacks on the year while Denver has just 31.
