Week 12 Free Betting Pick: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

betdsiArticles, Football, NFL

The Arizona Cardinals (+12) are heading west to battle the Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center. This late afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:05 p.m. ET and spectators can view the action live on FOX.

Betting Preview: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals

In this Sunday matchup, Los Angeles is tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 12 points. The Cardinals are also receiving +425 moneyline odds while the Chargers are -650. Multiple good live betting opportunities could present themselves during this game, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 45 points.

The sharp action is siding with both the Bolts and the over. The line initially opened at -11 and the over/under was originally 44.

The Cardinals are down 5.5 units so far and 5-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 4-6.

The Chargers are up 1.6 units this season. The team is 5-5 ATS and owns an even O/U record of 5-5.

The Cardinals are 2-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Chargers are 7-3 SU.

The Cardinals fell to Oakland 23-21 in a Week 11 game where the passing game the big culprit as Josh Rosen completed just nine-of-20 passes for 136 yards, three scores and two interceptions. David Johnson (137 yards on 25 rushes) provided the ground attack while Christian Kirk (three receptions, 77 yards, one TD) and Larry Fitzgerald (two catches, 23 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 11, Denver knocked off this Los Angeles team by a score of 23-22. Philip Rivers completed 28-of-43 passes for 401 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Melvin Gordon III (69 rushing yards on 18 attempts) spearheaded the running game while Keenan Allen (nine receptions, 89 yards, one TD) and Gordon III (six catches, 87 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Arizona has run the ball on 41.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has an overall rush percentage of 44.4 percent. The Cardinals have run for 78.8 yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Bolts are logging 123.9 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.

The Cards offensive scheme has averaged 181.6 yards in the air overall and has 11 passing scores so far. The Bolts have produced 286.8 pass yards per contest and have 23 total pass TDs.

Arizona has let opponents run for an average of 141.5 yards and pass for 240.3 yards per game. The Los Angeles defense has allowed 259.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Cards have given up an ANY/A of 6.15 to opposing QBs, while the Bolts are yielding an ANY/A of 5.97.

Rivers probably has the advantage over Rosen in this one. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.05 for the season and 7.55 over his past two outings while Rosen’s ANY/A is 4.31 (and 2.98 over the past two games).

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Chargers, ATS Winner: Cardinals, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Arizona D has sacked opposing QBs 33 times this year. Los Angeles has recorded just 26 sacks.
  • Los Angeles has lost three fumbles this season while Arizona has lost seven.
  • The Cardinals offense has registered three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Chargers have put up nine such plays.
  • The Arizona defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Los Angeles has given up six such plays.
  • The Arizona offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Los Angeles has created 13 such runs.
  • The Cardinals defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Chargers have given up six such runs.
  • Arizona has lost five of its last six games SU, with a three-point victory over San Francisco on October 28th representing the only win over that stretch.
  • Arizona has produced 4.4 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.4 over its last two.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.0 over its past two.