The Jets (+9.5) are set to host their AFC East foe New England Patriots (-9.5) at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will televise the action.
Betting Preview: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
New York is a big underdog in this AFC game and is currently getting 9.5 points. The Patriots are also receiving -440 moneyline odds while the Jets are +310. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 46.5 points, and it appears that there could be some good live betting opportunities in this game.
With the spread opening at 9 and the over/under set initially at 47, bookmakers have swayed the odds slightly.
The Patriots have gained 0.3 units so far in 2018 and are 6-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 4-6.
The disappointing Jets have lost 5.0 units this season. The team is 3-7 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-4.
The Patriots have gone 7-3 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against AFC East opponents. The Jets are 3-7 SU overall and 0-3 SU against divisional foes.
The Patriots dropped one to Tennessee 34-10 in a Week 10 thumping where the passing attack could’ve been sharper as Tom Brady completed only 21-of-41 passes for 254 yards. Sony Michel (just 31 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the ground attack in the loss while Julian Edelman (nine receptions, 104 yards) and James White (five catches, 31 yards) manned the receiving duties.
A couple of weeks ago in Week 10, Buffalo knocked off this New York team by a score of 41-10. The Jets defense allowed the Bills to run for 212 yards on 46 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. LeSean McCoy had a solid showing in the win, posting 113 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 26 attempts for Buffalo. For New York, Josh McCown completed 17-of-34 passes for 135 yards and two interceptions. Isaiah Crowell (19 rushing yards on seven attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Quincy Enunwa (four receptions, 18 yards) and Chris Herndon (three catches, 34 yards) led the receiving attack.
New England has run the ball on 42.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has an overall rush percentage of 44.6 percent. The Patriots have produced 108.5 rush yards per game (including 125.5 per game against East opponents) and have 12 scores via handoffs this year. The Jets are logging 107.3 rushing yards per game (68.3 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.
The Pats offensive scheme has logged 279.8 yards/game through the air overall (299.0 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Jets have put up 206.9 pass yards per game (233 against AFC foes) and have 11 total pass scores.
Defensively, New England has allowed opponents to run for an average of 111.1 yards and throw for 282.0 yards per game. The New York defense has given up 260.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Pats have given up an ANY/A of 6.43 to opposing QBs, while the Jets are yielding an ANY/A of 6.00.
Brady probably has the edge over Darnold in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.77for the year (and 6.47 over the past two outings). Darnold’s ANY/A is 4.50 for the year and 0.51 over his last two games.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Patriots, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The New York defense has sacked opposing QBs 22 times this year. New England has registered just 15 sacks.
- Both offenses have lost six fumbles this season.
- The Patriots offense has registered six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Jets have put up three such plays.
- The New England defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while New York has given up five such plays.
- The New England offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New York has created eight such runs.
- The Patriots defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Jets have given up 14 such runs.
- The Over/Under for New York’s previous outing was set at 38. The over cashed in the 41-10 loss to Buffalo.
- In its last three contests, New York is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three games, New England is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for New England’s last game was set at 46.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-10 loss to Tennessee.
- As a team, New England has produced 3.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.3 over its last two.
- New York has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its last two.
