The Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) are set to take on their AFC South foe Indianapolis Colts (-4) at Lucas Oil Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and spectators can witness the action live on CBS.
Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
In this Sunday AFC game, Indianapolis is getting picked as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 4 points. The Jaguars are also receiving +140 moneyline odds while the Colts are -160. There should be some solid live betting opportunities for this game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points.
The Jaguars are 5-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.3 units this season. The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-4-1.
The Colts have lost 2.1 units for moneyline bettors in 2019. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-4.
The Jaguars are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against AFC South opponents. The Colts are 5-4 SU overall and 2-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Jags hope to bounce back after a 26-3 loss to Houston in Week 9Their defense allowed the Texans to eat up the clock by rushing for 216 yards on 34 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Carlos Hyde had a productive day for the Texans in that one with 160 rushing yards on 19 attempts. Offensively, Gardner Minshew II completed 27-of-47 passes for 309 yards and two interceptions. Leonard Fournette (40 yards on 11 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. Keelan Cole (five receptions, 80 yards) and Ryquell Armstead (five catches, 65 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Back in Week 10, Miami took care of this Indianapolis team by a score of 16-12. The Colts defense held its ground in the loss, holding the Dolphins to only 169 passing yards and 70 yards on the ground. DeVante Parker had a solid showing in the win, recording 69 yards on five catches for Miami. For Indianapolis, Brian Hoyer completed 18-of-39 passes for 204 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Marlon Mack (74 rushing yards on 19 attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Eric Ebron (five receptions, 56 yards) and Hines (four catches, 30 yards) led the receiving corps.
Jacksonville has run the ball on 43.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has an overall rush percentage of 47.6 percent. The Jaguars have rushed for 129.6 yards/game (including 88.3 per game against South opponents) and have only one score via handoffs this year. The Colts are logging 127.4 rushing yards per game (114.5 in conference) and have four total rush TDs.
The Jags offensive scheme has averaged 262.2 yards through the air overall (242 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing score so far. The Colts have recorded 224.6 pass yards per outing (236 in the AFC) and have 18 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Jacksonville has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 120.2 yards and pass for 251.1 yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has allowed 238.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Jags have given up an ANY/A of 5.94 to opposing QBs, while the Colts are allowing an ANY/A of 6.13.
Passing-wise, Minshew II is up to 2,006 yards on the year, and has completed 166-of-273 attempts with 10 scores through the air and four interceptions. He’s got a 6.55 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.38 over the last two games.
Leonard Fournette, Chris Conley and DJ Chark Jr. have collectively accounted for 454 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two outings.
Brian Hoyer has connected on 18-of-39 passes for 204 yards, one TD and three INTs for Indianapolis. His ANY/A stands at a minuscule 1.90 for the year and 3.21 over his last two outings.
Marlon Mack, Zach Pascal and Parris Campbell have collectively accounted for 353 yards from scrimmage as a trio over the last couple of outings.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Free Betting Pick
SU Winner: Jaguars, ATS Winner: Jaguars, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Jacksonville’s last game going into it was 46. The under cashed in the team’s 26-3 defeat to Houston.
- Jacksonville has rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt over its last three contests and 3.8 over its last two.
- Indianapolis has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.3 over its last two.
- Indianapolis has lost six fumbles this season while Jacksonville has lost eight.
- Over its last three contests, Jacksonville is 2-1 ATS.
- The Over/Under for Indianapolis’ last match was 44.5. The under cashed in the 16-12 loss to Miami.
- In its last three contests, Indianapolis is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Jaguars offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Colts have put up one such play.
- The Jacksonville defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Indianapolis has given up four such plays.
- Both teams have produced eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Jacksonville offense has recorded 34 running plays of 10+ yards while Indianapolis has accounted for 25 such plays.
- The Jaguars defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Colts have given up six such runs.
- The Jacksonville defense has 30 sacks on the year while Indianapolis has just 23.
