The Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts will do battle on the dome at Lucas Oil Stadium. CBS owns the TV rights and the game is scheduled to get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Miami is a live dog and is currently getting 12 points in this Sunday AFC game. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to put up $600 to win $100 back on the Colts (-600). The Dolphins are getting +400 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43 points. On the surface it appears that there should be some decent live betting scenarios in this game.
Sharp bettors are siding with both the Dolphins and the under. The line originally opened at -16 and the O/U was initially 44.
The Dolphins are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.6 units so far in 2019. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 3-5.
The Colts have gained 3.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-3.
The Dolphins are 1-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Colts are 5-3 SU.
The Dolphins are coming off a 26-18 victory over the Jets last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 24-of-36 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns. Mark Walton (just 29 yards on 12 rushes) led the ground attack while Mike Gesicki (six receptions, 95 yards) and Preston Williams (five catches, 72 yards, two TDs) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Indianapolis narrowly dropped a 26-24 game to Pittsburgh in Week 9. As a group, the team collectively completed 21-of-31 passes for 227 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Brian Hoyer went 17-for-26 for 168 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Jacoby Brissett was four-of-five for 59 yards. Marlon Mack (89 rushing yards on 21 attempts) mounted the running game as Zach Pascal (five receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and Campbell (five catches, 53 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Miami has run the ball on 36.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has an overall rush percentage of 48.2 percent. The Dolphins have produced 63.8 rush yards per game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Colts are putting up 129.8 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Colts could hold an edge in the trenches, since their offensive line has allowed only 16 sacks while their D-line has registered 20 sacks. The Dolphins offensive line has given up 32 sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs on just 12 occasions.
The Dolphins offense has tallied 220.3 yards/contest through the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Colts have put up 227.1 pass yards per game and have 17 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Miami has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 150.8 yards and pass for 260.6 yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has allowed 246.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Colts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.5 to opponents, while the Dolphins have given up a staggering 8.85 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Fitzpatrick is up to 1,005 yards on the year, and has completed 61 percent of his 141 attempts with six scores through the air and five interceptions. Fitzpatrick’s got a 5.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.72 over the last two games.
In the home locker room, Jacoby Brissett has managed to complete 138-of-211 passes for 1,447 yards, 14 TDs and three INTs. Brissett’s ANY/A sits at 6.99 for the year and 7.03 across his past two outings.
These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 27-24 victory for Indianapolis.
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Free Betting Pick
SU Winner: Dolphins, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Dolphins offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Colts have put up one such play.
- The Miami defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Indianapolis has given up four such plays.
- The Miami offense has created zero rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Indianapolis has created seven such runs.
- The Dolphins defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Colts have given up six such runs.
- The Indianapolis D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 20 times this year. Miami has produced just 12 sacks.
- Miami has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 2.6 over its last two.
- Indianapolis has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its past two.
- Over its last three contests, Indianapolis is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Miami’s last game was set at 42.5. The over cashed in the team’s 26-18 win over the Jets.
- In its last three matches, Miami is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Indianapolis’ last outing was set at 39.5. The over cashed in the team’s 26-24 defeat to Pittsburgh.
