It will be a clash between two sensational offenses when the Milwaukee Bucks (40-6), 16.5-point favorites, meet the Washington Wizards (15-30) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 239.5 points and action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 28, 2020.
Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Bucks (14.5-point favorites) beat the Charlotte Hornets, 116-103, while the Wizards (1-point underdogs) were defeated by the Atlanta Hawks, 152-133. The Milwaukee game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Washington game went 44 points over the projected point total of 241.
The Bucks had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 27.9 (above their season average of 20.7) and held the Hornets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.453 (below their season average of 0.507). Washington, meanwhile, did a great job of getting and making free throws (38-42; 90.5 percent). Milwaukee received a boost from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who put up 30 points, 16 rebounds and six assists. Bradley Beal, meanwhile was a key piece for Washington with 40 points and six assists.
The Bucks captured this series last year, taking two out of three games. In the most recent matchup, Milwaukee won 148-129. The Bucks’ 11.8 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Wizards, who had a mark of 19.3. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Games featuring the Wizards have a tendency to go over the total (57.8 percent). Washington comes into the game with records of 15-30 straight up (SU) and 23-22 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Washington, games including the Bucks have gone under the O/U total 52.2 percent of the time. Further, Milwaukee is 40-6 SU and 25-21 ATS.
Milwaukee could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the league. The Bucks currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while Washington ranks 30th in defensive efficiency.
Washington Wizards vs. Milwaukee Bucks Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks average 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Wizards rank 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.7) while Washington ranks last (42.2).
- The Bucks rank third in blocks per game (6.4) while the Wizards rank 25th (4.3).
- Milwaukee ranks fifth in assists per game (26.0) while Washington ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
- Washington ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (33.3) while Milwaukee ranks last (39.0).
- The Bucks rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while the Wizards rank 28th (14.5).
- The Bucks rank first in fast break points per game (18.7) while the Wizards rank 18th (12.1).
- Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.2) while Washington ranks 27th (52.3).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Washington is 3-0 and Milwaukee is 11-0.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Bucks are 40-6 and the Wizards are 13-29.
- Milwaukee is 12-11 ATS at home, while Washington is 13-12 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 16 of the Wizards’ 25 road games, while 12 of the Bucks’ 23 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Wizards are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Washington has 4 overs and 1 under, while Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 5.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 120.0 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.6 points per game (2.1 below their season average).
