Washington Wizards at Miami Heat ATS Prediction 01/22/20

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An eight-game home winning streak is on the line for the Miami Heat (30-13) when they clash with the Washington Wizards (14-28) at AmericanAirlines Arena. Action starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020.

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Heat (3-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings 118-113, while the Wizards (1-point underdog) beat the Detroit Pistons 106-100. The Miami game finished 10 points over the projected point total of 221, while the Washington game went 26.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5.

The Wizards held the Pistons to an effective field goal percentage of 0.483 (below their season average of 0.538). The Pistons had a free throw rate of 0.157 (below their season average of 0.199). Meanwhile, Miami’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Sacramento. The Heat had a rate of 0.217 (below their season average of 0.233), while the Kings posted a mark of 0.113 (below their season average of 0.170). Bam Adebayo had a solid performance for Miami, contributing 16 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. Ian Mahinmi, meanwhile played a key role for Washington with 21 points and seven rebounds.

The Wizards had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 123-105 blowout victory, to even the season series at one. Jordan McRae scored a game-high 29 points. The Wizards’ 8.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Heat, who had a rate of 16.6. The two teams combined to score 228 points, which was just over the projected point total of 223, and Washington covered as a 14-point underdog.

Of the Wizards’ 42 games, 23 have finished over the total. Washington heads into the contest with records of 14-28 straight up (SU) and 21-21 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Heat are involved, as 60.5 percent of their games have gone over the total. Additionally, Miami owns records of 30-13 SU and 24-17-2 ATS.

The elite offense of Miami (third in the league with an effective field goal percentage 0.547) will clash against the porous defense of Washington (30th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.557). The Heat should have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Wizards rank 17th in fast break points per game (12.5) while the Heat rank 25th (10.7).
  • Washington ranks third in second chance points per game (14.8) while Miami ranks 27th (11.8).
  • The Heat rank second in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Wizards rank 21st (46.4).
  • Miami ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Washington ranks 20th (5.4).
  • Miami averages 25.1 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Washington ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.4).
  • The Wizards average 18.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Heat rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • The Wizards rank 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.3) while the Heat rank 28th (37.4).
  • Washington ranks 13th in steals per game (7.8) while Miami ranks 16th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • Miami ranks eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (45.7) while Washington ranks 27th (52.2).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Miami is 5-1 and Washington is 3-0.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Wizards are 12-27 and the Heat are 29-8.
  • Washington is 11-11 ATS on the road, while Miami is 14-5-1 ATS at home.
  • Of the Wizards’ 22 road games, they have 13 overs and 9 unders.
  • In 20 home games, the Heat have 13 overs and 7 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Heat are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Miami has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Washington has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 3.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.6 points per game (3.2 below their season average).