In the final iteration of the NFL regular season, the Cowboys (-11) are set to welcome the Washington Redskins to AT&T Stadium. This NFC East matchup kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to televise the action.
Betting Preview: Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
In this Sunday NFC matchup, Dallas is getting picked as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 11 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put down $500 in order to win $100 back on the Cowboys (-500). The Redskins are getting +340 moneyline odds. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 44 points. If Dallas gives up points early, it will likely produce a worthy in-game betting scenario.
The sharp action is siding with the Cowboys, as the opening line was -8. The game’s over/under hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 44.
The Redskins are 6-9 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.3 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 7-8.
The Cowboys are down 7.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 8-7 ATS and the over’s hit in nine of their games.
The Redskins have gone 3-12 straight up (SU), including 0-5 SU against NFC East opponents. The Cowboys are 7-8 SU overall and 4-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Redskins lost to the Giants 41-35 in a Week 16 game where the defense allowed the Giants to pass for 352 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 206 yards. Saquon Barkley torched the defense in that one with 189 rushing yards and a score on 22 attempts, along with 90 yards and a score on four catches. Offensively, the Redskins completed 29-of-38 passes for 302 yards and three touchdowns. Case Keenum went 16-for-22 for 158 yards and one touchdown while Dwayne Haskins Jr. completed 12-of-15 for 133 yards and two touchdowns. Adrian Peterson (just 36 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Terry McLaurin (seven receptions, 86 yards) and Steven Sims Jr. (six catches, 64 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
In Week 16, Philadelphia knocked off this Dallas crew by a score of 17-9. The Cowboys defense allowed the Eagles to pass for 319 yards while rushing for 118 yards. Miles Sanders was outstanding, putting up 79 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts, along with 77 yards and a score on five catches for the Eagles. For Dallas, Dak Prescott completed 25-of-44 passes for 265 yards. Ezekiel Elliott had a monster day in the loss. Along with 47 yards on 13 rush attempts, Elliott also reeled in seven catches for 37 yards.
Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Washington’s run the ball on 43.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Dallas has an overall rush percentage of 42.3. The Redskins have produced 99.7 rush yards per game (including 62.2 per game against East opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Cowboys are putting up 128.7 rush yards per game (143.4 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Cowboys ought to hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 4.7 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 4.1 to opponents. The Redskins have tallied 4.4 yards per carry while allowing 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Redskins offensive scheme has tallied 199.9 yards per contest in the air overall (261.6 per game versus conference opposition) and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Cowboys have produced 306.6 pass yards per game (287 against NFC competition) and have 26 total pass scores.
Defensively, Washington has let opponents run for an average of 141.1 yards and throw for 252.7 yards per game. The Dallas D has allowed 244.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Redskins have given up an ANY/A of 6.48 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys are allowing an ANY/A of 6.19.
Offensively, Haskins Jr. is up to 1,104 passing yards this year, and has completed 57 percent of his 175 attempts with five scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 3.42 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.87 over the last two games.
As a group, Terry McLaurin, Adrian Peterson and Steven Sims Jr. have combined for 480 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns over the last two outings.
Dak Prescott has completed 350-of-540 passes for 4,387 yards, 24 TDs and 11 INTs for Dallas. His ANY/A stands at 7.55 for the season and 7.38 over his past two outings.
We expect the Cowboys to control the game’s pace by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. Michael Gallup (1,003 receiving yards, three TDs this season) has stepped up lately, but Ezekiel Elliott (1,118 rush yards, nine rush TDs, 375 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Tony Pollard (264 rush yards, one rush TD, one receiving TD) have been key factors in the Dallas offense.
Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys Free Prediction
SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The Washington defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 43 times this season. Dallas has registered just 37 sacks.
- The Dallas offense has lost six fumbles in 2019 while Washington has let seven get away.
- The Redskins offense has tallied five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cowboys have put up 13 such plays.
- The Washington defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Dallas has given up four such plays.
- The Washington offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Dallas has created nine such runs.
- The Redskins defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up eight such runs.
- The O/U for Dallas’ last match was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 17-9 loss to Philadelphia.
- In its last three contests, Dallas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three matchups, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Washington’s previous game was set at 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-35 loss to the Giants.
- Washington has produced 4.0 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.
- Dallas has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.2 over its last two.
