The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will showcase the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Washington (+100) is the underdog against Philadelphia (-110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -210 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Nationals are 13-18 SU and have gone 12-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 7.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 18-13 SU and 15-15 ATS. The team has gained 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 15-15 so far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 17-12-1.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. Corbin is 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven and one-third innings).
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Jake Arrieta (4-2, 3.46 ERA), who’s got 30 strikeouts and 15 walks, along with a 1.28 WHIP. Arrieta made four starts against the Nationals in 2018, posting a 0-0 record with a 4.74 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.11 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 22 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.19.
Philadelphia’s offense has produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .274/.360/.459 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Hernandez is slashing .284/.344/.405 with 33 hits, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hoskins is hitting .288 with 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 21 runs.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.27 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.29 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.89, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.72.
The Nationals offense has slashed .247/.325/.423 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been powered by outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles. Eaton is slashing .294/.360/.405 with 37 hits, nine RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Robles is slashing .246/.288/.449 with 29 hits, five homers, 12 RBIs, 21 runs and seven steals.
The Nationals have lost 5.5 units and are 10-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 2.6 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in three of those games, compared to four which went under the total.
Nationals at Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Washington has tallied six extra-base hits over its last five outings. Philadelphia has 16 XBH over its last five.
- Each team has swatted 12 home runs over its last 10 outings.
- The Nationals have a total OPS of .748 this season and an OPS of .718 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .768 overall and .767 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
- The Phillies have won five of their last six games SU.
