The Washington Nationals will be taking on their divisional rival Miami Marlins in a Sunday showdown. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds
Washington (receiving -200) is favored against Miami (+185) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -140 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and +120 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Nationals are 85-68 SU and are 84-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 11.5 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-101 SU and 78-75 ATS. They’ve lost 17.9 units for moneyline bettors and 8.2 units ATS.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 72-69-12 in 2019. Nationals games have gone under 73 times, gone over 71 times and pushed on eight occasions.
Austin Voth will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Voth (1-1, 3.58 ERA) has racked up 36 strikeouts in 32.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Pablo Lopez (5-8, 4.94 ERA), who’s got 91 strikeouts and 23 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Lopez is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 68 games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.97.
The Miami offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .284/.358/.470 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .271/.300/.432 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and Rojas has put up a line of .283/.332/.384 with five homers, 45 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.54 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.85, along with a K-per-9 of 9.10.
Nationals hitters have slashed .263/.342/.453 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Anthony Rendon and outfielder Adam Eaton have paced Washington’s hitters. Rendon is hitting .326/.412/.613 with 34 home runs, 119 RBIs and 114 runs scored. Eaton is hitting .280/.363/.429 with 14 homers, 47 RBIs, 97 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Nationals have lost 4.3 units and are 62-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 18.2 units and are 54-58 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, compared to 54 that went under.
Nationals vs. Marlins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have an OPS of .794 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .672 overall and .662 versus righties.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.
- Miami has recorded 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.6 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
