The Miami Marlins are set to host their NL East foe Washington Nationals at Marlins Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Washington (-190) as the favorite over Miami (+180). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will return even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Nationals -1.5 runs (-135) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+115).
The Marlins are 78-74 against the spread (ATS), but only 53-99 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals are 83-68 SU and have gone 83-68 ATS. In total, the club has lost 4.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 10.5 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 71-69-12 in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 70-73-8.
The right-handed Anibal Sanchez will get the start for the visiting Nationals. Sanchez is 9-8 with a 3.86 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.31 ERA against Miami this year (three starts).
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Robert Dugger (0-2, 3.95 ERA), who has 18 punchouts and 13 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Dugger hasn’t faced the Nationals yet this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.07 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 66 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.79.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .272/.337/.439 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is hitting .268/.298/.424 with 20 home runs, 79 RBIs and 62 runs scored, and Rojas is hitting .285 with five homers, 45 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.86, along with a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.08.
The Nationals offense has slashed .263/.341/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Anthony Rendon and outfielder Juan Soto, who have combined to blast 68 home runs. Rendon is slashing .330/.414/.622 with 34 home runs, 119 RBIs and 113 runs scored, while Soto (.292/.402/.568) has produced 34 homers, 106 RBIs and 104 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 5.3 units and are 61-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 17.2 units and are 54-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve cashed the under.
Nationals at Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
- The Nationals have an OPS of .794 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .672 overall and .661 against righties.
- Washington has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.2 over its last five.
