Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals will head south to SunTrust Park to square off against their divisional nemesis Atlanta Braves. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Sportsbooks have Washington (-115) as the favorite over Atlanta (+105). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at +105 for over 9 runs and -125 for under 9. This game currently has a runline of Nationals -1.5 (+130) and Braves +1.5 (-150).
The Braves are 86-54 straight up (SU) and 70-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.3 units ATS. On the other hand, the Nationals are 78-60 SU and have gone 77-60 against the spread. In total, the club has accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units ATS.
Braves games have an over/under record of 68-64-8 in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 66-64-7.
The right-handed Stephen Strasburg is the probable starter for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 16-5 with a 3.47 ERA and 215 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 23 strikeouts and a 3.93 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).
The Braves will be sending lefty Max Fried (15-4, 4.05 ERA) to the mound. Fried has 150 strikeouts and 42 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Fried is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.76, along with a K/9 of 9.01.
Nationals hitters have slashed .265/.343/.456 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto. Rendon is hitting .338/.417/.636 with 32 home runs, 114 RBIs and 105 runs scored, while Soto (.299/.406/.581) has produced 32 homers, 98 RBIs, 97 runs and 12 stolen bases.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 59 games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.08.
The Atlanta offense has produced 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .272/.385/.462 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have paced the Braves’ hitters this year. Freeman is slashing .300/.393/.578 with 38 home runs, 114 RBIs and 108 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .282/.365/.514 with 36 homers, 92 RBIs, 111 runs and 33 steals.
The Nationals have gained 1.3 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 13.2 units and are 54-55 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 53 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under.
Nationals at Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in only two of Washington’s last seven games.
- Atlanta has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 games.
- The Nationals have a team OPS of .799 this season and an OPS of .833 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .796 overall and .790 against lefties.
