The Washington Nationals will pay a visit to Citi Field to face their division rival New York Mets. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the game.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds
The Mets are 12-2 SU and 10-3 ATS. The team has gained 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals are 7-9 SU and have gone 6-9 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the year and 3.1 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 6-7 so far in 2018. Nationals games have gone under seven times, gone over six times and pushed on two occasions.
The Nationals have lost 3.8 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 6.9 units and are 7-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to five that’ve cashed the under.
Jeremy Hellickson is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Hellickson is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 5.68 ERA and four strikeouts over six and one-third innings).
The Mets will be sending righty Jacob deGrom (2-0, 3.06 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 18 punchouts and five walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. deGrom is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA over one starts against Washington this year.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 3.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.35 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 1.51, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.7. In eight games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 2.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.16.
The New York offense has produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .208/.300/.421 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Todd Frazier and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera have led the Mets’ offense so far. Frazier is slashing .295/.450/.523 with 13 hits, nine RBIs and eight runs scored, while Cabrera’s line is .315/.362/.556 with 17 hits, five RBIs and 12 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .214/.345/.425, Frazier did not do very well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .165/.308/.247 over 208 such plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.35 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 10.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.73, along with a WHIP of 1.07 and a K-per-9 of 11.75.
Nationals hitters have slashed .232/.340/.391 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Bryce Harper and Adam Eaton have led Washington’s offense. Harper is slashing .300/.479/.740 with 15 hits, seven homers, 14 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Eaton is hitting .345 with 10 hits, two homers, five RBIs and 10 runs scored.
Harper seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road last season. Over 176 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .319/.438/.681 (his overall season line was .317/.411/.596).
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Mets have won 10 of their last 11 games SU.
- Washington fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for New York over its last 10.
- The Nationals have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
