The Washington Nationals will take the field against their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies in a Saturday night game. The action is going to be televised nationwide on Fox and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (receiving -115 odds) is favored over Washington and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -200 for taking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +170 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 47-44 straight up (SU) and 44-46 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, have gone 48-42 SU this year and are 47-42 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 1.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Philadelphia games have a 44-42-4 over/under record thus far in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 43-40-6.
Patrick Corbin will get the nod for Washington. The left-handed Corbin (7-5, 3.34 ERA) has recorded 129 strikeouts in 113.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are turning to righty Aaron Nola (8-2, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 124 strikeouts and 44 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.30. Nola is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.57 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 47 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.29.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .295/.361/.459 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .285/.338/.418 with seven home runs, 40 RBIs and 42 runs scored, and Segura’s line sits at .275/.318/.442 with 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 55 runs.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.51 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.02, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.13.
The Nationals offense has slashed .254/.330/.436 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Right fielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s offense. Eaton is hitting .284/.370/.387 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Rendon is slashing .304/.389/.608 with 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 1.6 units and are 37-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 5.3 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 11 which went under the total.
Nationals vs. Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Washington has logged 18 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Nationals have an OPS of .767 this season and an OPS of .733 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .748 overall and .738 versus righties.
- The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Washington has recorded 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.8 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.
