In a battle of two teams that prefer running the football, Coach Chris Petersen and the Washington Huskies (-9.5) are set to pay a visit to their in-conference foe Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium. The game will start at 10:30 p.m. ET and FS1 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies
Oregon State is a big underdog in this Pac-12 matchup and is currently getting 9.5 points. The Huskies are also receiving -370 moneyline odds while the Beavers are +290. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 65 points. If Washington falls down early, it would probably result in a worthy betting opportunity in-game.
The disappointing Huskies are down 9.8 units this season and 5-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-3.
The Beavers have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this year, gaining 3.5 units. The team is 6-2 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.
The Huskies have gone 5-4 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Beavers are 4-4 SU overall and 3-2 SU in conference play.
Oregon State comes into this one on a two-game losing streak while Washington has won its last two in a row. The Huskies are trying to bounce back after a 33-28 defeat to Utah last week where Jacob Eason completed only 29 passes on 52 attempts for 316 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Salvon Ahmed (50 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the running attack in the loss. Terrell Bynum (seven receptions, 68 yards) and Hunter Bryant (six catches, 105 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.
Oregon State just put together a 56-38 win over Arizona. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Wildcats to pass for 378 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 148 yards and three scores. J.J. Taylor was on a different level for Arizona, putting up 78 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 21 attempts, along with 89 yards and a score on seven catches. For Oregon State, Jake Luton completed 20-of-26 passes for 328 yards and three touchdowns. Jermar Jefferson (105 yards on 22 rush attempts, three TDs) and Artavis Pierce (114 yards on 15 carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Isaiah Hodgins (seven receptions, 150 yards, two TDs) and Noah Togiai (five catches, 69 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Washington has run the ball on 52.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Oregon State has a rush percentage of 50.6. The Huskies have run for 158.8 yards/game (including 142 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 15 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Beavers are totaling 176.9 rush yards per game (145.4 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.
The Huskies offensive scheme has tallied 257.3 yards per contest through the air overall (232.7 per game against conference opposition) and has 20 passing TDs so far. The Beavers have put up 254.3 pass yards per outing (259 against Pac-12 competition) and have 21 total pass scores.
Defensively, Washington appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 144 yards and throw for 231.3 yards per game. The Oregon State defense has allowed 253.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 186.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Huskies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.60 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have given up a 7.72 ANY/A.
Offensively, Eason is up to 2,008 passing yards this year, and has connected on 64 percent of his 255 attempts with 17 passing scores and only five interceptions. Eason’s got a 7.73 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.32 over the last two games.
We expect the Washington offense to mix it up in this one. Salvon Ahmed, Hunter Bryant and Terrell Bynum have combined to account for 495 total yards and three touchdowns as a trio over the last couple of outings.
Jake Luton has completed 137-of-221 passes for 1,756 yards, 17 TDs and one INT for Oregon State. His ANY/A stands at 8.57 for the season and 7.87 across his last two games.
Similar to the Huskies, expect a balanced approach offensively from Oregon State this Friday. Artavis Pierce, Isaiah Hodgins and Noah Togiai have collectively accounted for 528 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.
When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Washington got the victory over Oregon State, 42-23.
Washington Huskies vs. Oregon State Beavers Free Pick
SU Winner: Oregon State, ATS Winner: Oregon State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Washington’s last game was set at 49. The over cashed in the team’s 33-28 defeat to Utah.
- As a team, Washington has produced 3.8 yards per carry across its last three contests and 3.2 over its last two.
- Oregon State has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.2 over its last two.
- The Oregon State offense has lost zero fumbles this season while Washington has let five get away.
- In its last three contests, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- Washington has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 24-point victory over Arizona on October 12th representing the only win over that stretch.
- The O/U for Oregon State’s last game was set at 71.5. The over cashed in that 56-38 victory over Arizona.
- Over its last three games, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Huskies offense has registered five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Beavers have accounted for six such plays.
- The Washington defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oregon State has given up four such plays.
- The Washington offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oregon State has created 12 such runs.
- The Huskies defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Beavers have given up 11 such runs.
- The Oregon State D has created 25 sacks on the year while Washington has 20.
