The No. 4 Virginia Tech Hokies (26-8, 13-7 ACC), 7-point underdogs, challenge the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (31-5, 17-4 ACC) in the Sweet Sixteen at Capital One Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 144 points and action starts at 9:39 p.m. ET on Friday, March 29, 2019.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Duke Blue Devils ATS Odds
The Blue Devils (13-point favorites) edged the No. 9 UCF Knights 77-76 in the Second Round, while the Hokies (9.5-point favorites) defeated the No. 12 Liberty Flames 67-58. The Duke game went 11 points over the projected point total of 142, while the Virginia Tech game finished 2 points under the projected point total of 127.
The Hokies had a superb turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 15.6) and held the Flames to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.3 (below their season average of 26.0). The Blue Devils, meanwhile, had 8 steals and held the Knights to an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.3 (below their season average of 29.7). Zion Williamson had a solid outing for Duke with 32 points and 11 rebounds. Virginia Tech was led by Kerry Blackshear Jr., who had 19 points and nine rebounds.
Just over half of the Hokies’ games have finished under the total. Virginia Tech comes into the game with records of 26-8 straight up (SU) and 18-15-1 against the spread (ATS).
Blue Devils games tend to finish under the total (69.4 percent). Further, Duke owns records of 31-5 SU and 18-18 ATS.
This showdown pits one of the country’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Duke ranks 19th in offensive efficiency and Virginia Tech is 28th in defensive efficiency.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Duke Blue Devils Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Virginia Tech, ATS Winner – Virginia Tech, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Duke ranks second in rebounds per game (41.5) while Virginia Tech ranks 274th (32.5).
- The Hokies rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (5.0) while the Blue Devils rank 142nd (6.3).
- Duke averages 15.8 assists per game, which ranks 25th in the country. Virginia Tech ranks 78th in assists allowed per game (11.9).
- The Blue Devils rank first in blocks per game (6.7) while the Hokies rank 231st (2.2).
- Duke averages 23.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 97th in the NCAA. Virginia Tech ranks 303rd in three pointers allowed per game (26.7).
Bettings Trends:
- The Hokies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Blue Devils are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Virginia Tech has 4 unders and 1 over, while Duke has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Hokies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, down from 11.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Blue Devils have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.2 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
