Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers: 11/29/2019 Free Pick

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One three-game winning streak will conclude as the Virginia Cavaliers face off against the No. 23 Virginia Tech Hokies. This crucial afternoon matchup will begin at 12:00 p.m. ET and ABC will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

Virginia is a live dog and is currently getting 2.5 points in this ACC game. The Hokies are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Cavaliers are +120. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47 points. There will probably be multiple good live betting scenarios in this game.

The game’s over/under has not changed after it was initially established at 47. Having said that, the line opened at -2 so has recently moved up to 2.5.

Both of these teams have been profitable this season as the Hokies have gained 5.6 units while the Cavaliers are ahead 2.1 units.

The Hokies have gone 8-3 straight up (SU), including 5-2 SU against ACC opponents. The Cavaliers are 8-3 SU overall and are also 5-2 SU in conference play.

Both teams enter the contest on three-game unbeaten streaks. The Hokies are coming off a resounding 28-0 victory over Pittsburgh last week. The passing game was on point as Hendon Hooker completed 10-of-13 passes for only 153 yards and two touchdowns. Tre Turner (three receptions, 30 yards, one TD) and Tayvion Robinson (two catches, 74 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Virginia Wahoos are coming off of a 55-27 win over Liberty. The defensive secondary allowed the Flames to air it out for 313 yards and two touchdowns. Frankie Hickson had a good showing in the defeat for Liberty, posting 88 rushing yards and a score on 15 attempts. For Virginia, Bryce Perkins completed 18-of-30 passes for 199 yards and two touchdowns. Perkins (30 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) and PK Kier (82 yards on 10 carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the win as Terrell Jana (four receptions, 56 yards, one TD) and Billy Kemp IV (four catches, 42 yards) led all Virginia pass-catchers.

Virginia Tech has run the ball on 64.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Virginia has a rush percentage of 48.2 percent. The Hokies have produced 172.5 rush yards/game (including 174.3 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 19 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Wahoos are averaging 123.6 rush yards per game (120.6 in conference) and have 25 total rushing TDs.

The Hokies offense has tallied 208.8 yards/contest in the air overall (214.6 per game versus conference opposition) and has 21 passing scores so far. The Wahoos have recorded 256.6 pass yards per game (250 against ACC competition) and have 16 total pass TDs.

Virginia Tech has allowed opponents to run for an average of 118.1 yards and pass for 229.8 yards per game. The Virginia defense has given up 204.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.8 yards per game on the ground. The Hokies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.90 to opposing QBs, while the Wahoos have given up a 5.59 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Hooker is up to 975 yards this season, and has connected on 62 percent of his 97 attempts with nine scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a pristine 10.32 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 11.23 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Bryce Perkins has completed 220-of-344 passes for 2,372 yards, 14 TDs and eight INTs. Perkins’ ANY/A stands at 5.58 for the year and 7.13 over his last two outings.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Virginia Tech won by a field goal 34-31.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner: Virginia, ATS Winner: Virginia, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Virginia defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 37 times this season. Virginia Tech has registered 35 sacks.
  • Virginia has lost six fumbles in 2019 while Virginia Tech has lost 12.
  • The Hokies offense has produced eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cavaliers have accounted for five such plays.
  • The Virginia Tech defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Virginia has given up 10 such plays.
  • The Virginia Tech offense has created 16 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Virginia has created nine such runs.
  • The Hokies defense has allowed 15 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cavaliers have given up nine such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Virginia’s last match was set at 58. The over cashed in the 55-27 victory over Liberty.
  • Over its last three matches, Virginia is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • In its last three matchups, Virginia Tech is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • Virginia Tech has won seven of its last eight games SU, with a one-point defeat to Notre Dame on November 2nd representing the only loss over that span.
  • The Over/Under for Virginia Tech’s previous game was set at 43.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-0 win over Pittsburgh.
  • Virginia Tech, as a team, has rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.
  • Virginia has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.7 over its last two.