The Vanderbilt Commodores (+22) aren’t traveling far to battle the Tennessee Volunteers at Neyland Stadium. This SEC game is scheduled to kick off at 4:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to SEC Network.
Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt is a heavy road dog here and is currently receiving 22 points by bookmakers. If the Vols get down early on it will create a reasonable live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points.
This matchup’s line has recently moved down from -20 to where it is now (-22). The game’s over/under has yet to move after being set initially at 45.5.
The disappointing Commodores are down 13.0 units so far and 1-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 4-6.
The Volunteers have gained 3.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-4 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-7.
The Commodores have gone 3-8 straight up (SU), including 1-6 SU against SEC opponents. The Volunteers are 6-5 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play.
When these two schools met last year, Vanderbilt knocked off Vanderbilt soundly 38-13.
The Commodores hope to make it two in a row 38-0 victory over ETSU last week. The Commodores defensive unit did its part in the win, holding the Buccaneers to just 68 passing yards and 37 rushing yards. On the offensive side, Riley Neal completed 16-of-24 passes for only 179 yards and two touchdowns. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (139 rushing yards on 14 attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the ground attack. Kalija Lipscomb (six receptions, 75 yards) and Jared Pinkney (five catches, 76 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Tennessee just picked up a 24-20 win over Missouri. Jarrett Guarantano completed 23-of-40 passes for 415 yards and two touchdowns. Tim Jordan (74 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the running game while Marquez Callaway (six receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and Josh Palmer (six catches, 124 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Vanderbilt’s run the ball on 49.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 55.5 percent. The Commodores have produced 126 rush yards/game (including 106.4 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Vols are logging 131 rushing yards per game (112.9 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
If 2019 results are any indication, then the Vols could have the edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded only 20 sacks while their D-line has registered 27 sacks. The Commodores O-line has given up 25 sacks and their defense has created only 20 sacks.
The Commodores offensive scheme has tallied 172.3 yards/contest in the air overall (135.4 per game against conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Vols have produced 229.1 pass yards per contest (241 in the SEC) and have 18 total pass scores.
Defensively, Vanderbilt has allowed 200.7 rush yards and 237.6 pass yards per game. The Tennessee D has allowed 193.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 149.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Vols are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.78 to opponents, while the Commodores have given up an 8.22 ANY/A.
Offensively, Neal has amassed 1,372 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 125-of-210 attempts with eight scores through the air and four interceptions. Neal has a 5.54 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.29 over the last two games.
Jarrett Guarantano has completed 121-of-201 passes for 1,702 yards, 13 TDs and five INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A sits at 7.71 for the season and 11.84 over his past two outings.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Tennessee, ATS Winner: Vanderbilt, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Tennessee defense has tallied 27 sacks on the year while Vanderbilt has just 20.
- Tennessee has lost seven fumbles this season while the Vanderbilt offense has lost three.
- The Commodores offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Volunteers have put up eight such plays.
- The Vanderbilt defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Tennessee has given up five such plays.
- The Vanderbilt offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tennessee has created eight such runs.
- The Commodores defense has allowed 19 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Volunteers have given up eight such runs.
- The O/U for Tennessee’s last game was set at 47.5. The under cashed in the 24-20 victory over Missouri.
- Over its last three matches, Tennessee is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- As a team, Vanderbilt has produced 3.9 yards per carry across its last three contests and 5.9 over its last two.
- Tennessee has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.7 over its last two.
