UTSA Roadrunners at Texas State Bobcats ATS Prediction 12/07/19

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A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Texas State Bobcats (6-3) when they go head-to-head with the UTSA Roadrunners (2-6) at Strahan Coliseum. The game gets underway at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 7, 2019.

UTSA Roadrunners at Texas State Bobcats ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Bobcats fell to the Houston Cougars, 68-60, while the Roadrunners easily got past the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders, 89-67.

UTSA played a perfect game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.418 (above their season average of 0.175) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.0 (above their season average of 26.5). Texas A&M-Corpus Christi was 0.088 and 29.4, respectively, for those same stats. Texas State, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 10.7 (better than their season average of 17.7). Nijal Pearson fueled Texas State with 17 points. Keaton Wallace, meanwhile had a good outing for UTSA, recording 31 points, nine rebounds and five assists.

The Bobcats won the lone game between these two teams last season, 69-68. Texas State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.8 vs. 11.1). UTSA, meanwhile, did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (20-21; 95.2 percent).

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Texas State should have a considerable edge. Since the 2018-19 season, the Bobcats defense ranks 44th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.461), while the UTSA offense ranks 236th in effective field goal percentage (0.493). It will also be a showdown of conflicting tempos as the quick-paced Roadrunners rank 20th in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Bobcats rank 253rd.

UTSA Roadrunners at Texas State Bobcats Pick

Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • Texas State ranks 39th in rebounds allowed per game (32.2) while UTSA ranks 303rd (39.3).
  • The Roadrunners average 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 102nd in the NCAA. The Bobcats rank 144th in steals allowed per game (6.3).
  • The Roadrunners rank 30th in three pointers attempted per game (26.9) while the Bobcats rank 234th (20.3).
  • Texas State ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (10.4) while UTSA ranks 147th (12.7).