The Utah State Aggies and Air Force Falcons will collide on the turf at Falcon Stadium. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10:15 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on ESPN2.
Betting Preview: Air Force Falcons vs. Utah State Aggies
Utah State is the road underdog in this MWC matchup and is currently getting 3 points. The Aggies are also receiving +135 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -155. This MWC matchup should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 60 points.
The Aggies have gained 0.0 units so far in 2019 and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-4.
The Falcons have gained 1.8 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and the over has hit in five of its games.
The Aggies have gone 4-2 straight up (SU), including 3-0 SU against MWC opponents. The Falcons are 5-2 SU overall and 3-1 SU in conference play.
The Aggies are coming off a resounding 36-10 win over Nevada last week. Jordan Love completed only 13-of-31 passes for 169 yards, along with one TD and an interception. Gerold Bright (126 yards on 15 rushes, two TDs) and Jaylen Warren (73 yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Deven Thompkins (four receptions, 46 yards) and Taylor Compton (two catches, five yards) handled the receiving duties.
The Air Force Falcons enter this one after just getting a 56-26 win over Hawaii. The defensive secondary allowed the Rainbow Warriors to air it out for 404 yards and three touchdowns. Jared Smart had a good showing in the loss, posting 140 yards and a score on 11 catches for Hawaii. For Air Force, Mike Schmidt completed five-of-six passes for 147 yards and one touchdown. Schmidt (120 rushing yards on 14 attempts, three TDs) and Kadin Remsberg (91 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) mounted the ground game in the win as Geraud Sanders (three receptions, 116 yards, one TD) and Kade Waguespack (one catch, 39 yards) led all Air Force pass-catchers.
Utah State’s run the ball on 48.4 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 52.9 percent across possessions in conference play. Air Force has a rush percentage of 84.8 percent, and has kept it on the ground 87.9 percent of the time against MWC opponents. The Aggies have run for 181.7 yards/game (including 188.7 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have nine scores via handoffs this year. The Falcons are totaling 304.6 rush yards per game (329.3 in conference) and have 27 total rushing TDs.
The Aggies offense has averaged 269.8 yards in the air overall (223.7 per game against conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Falcons have recorded 133.7 pass yards per game (124 in the MWC) and have six total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Utah State has allowed 136.2 rush yards and 270 pass yards per game. The Air Force defense has allowed 231.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.09 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up a 6.99 ANY/A.
Schmidt has been sharper than Love recently. The Falcons man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 27.83 for the season while Love’s ANY/A is 6.13 (and 1.58 over the past two outings).
When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Utah State emerged victorious by a final score of 42-32.
Utah State Aggies at Air Force Falcons Bedding Prediction
SU Winner: Utah State, ATS Winner: Utah State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Utah State’s last game going into it was 58.5. The under cashed in the team’s 36-10 victory over Nevada.
- Utah State, as a team, has rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt over its past three games and 4.0 over its last two.
- Air Force has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.8 over its past two.
- Air Force has lost seven fumbles this season while Utah State has lost four.
- In its last three matches, Utah State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Utah State has won five of its last six games SU, with an October 5th defeat to LSU representing the only loss over that stretch.
- The O/U for Air Force’s last outing was 65.5. The over cashed in the team’s 56-26 victory over Hawaii.
- Over its last three games, Air Force is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The Aggies offense has produced five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Falcons have accounted for seven such plays.
- The Utah State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Air Force has given up two such plays.
- The Utah State offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Air Force has created 10 such runs.
- The Aggies defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Falcons have given up three such runs.
- The Utah State D has sacked opposing QBs 13 times this season. Air Force has registered 12 sacks.
