Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction

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The Sacramento Kings (10-9) will be at home in the Golden 1 Center when they take on the Utah Jazz (8-11). Action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.

Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

Both teams lost in their last outing. The Jazz (2.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 90-83, while the Kings (9.5-point underdogs) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 117-116. The Utah game finished 46.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Sacramento game went 11 points over the projected point total of 222.

Utah forced Los Angeles into a turnover percentage of 20.9 (above their season average of 12.8) while Sacramento had a turnover percentage of 6.8 (better than their season average of 12.5). Marvin Bagley III had a solid performance for Sacramento, contributing 20 points and 17 rebounds. Utah rallied around Joe Ingles, who recorded 16 points, eight rebounds and five assists.

The Kings won the most recent matchup by nine points to even the season series at one. Donovan Mitchell was the top overall scorer in the game with 35 points. Sacramento’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Utah. The Kings had a rate of 0.590 while the Jazz posted a mark of 0.500. Sacramento covered as a 10-point underdog and the two teams combined for 229 points, which was over the projected point total of 222.

Of the Jazz’s 19 games, 12 have finished over the total. Utah comes into the contest with records of 8-11 straight up (SU) and 8-11 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Utah, games including the Kings also have typically finished over the total (61.1 percent). Additionally, Sacramento is 10-9 SU and 11-7 ATS.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has really been playing well as of late for Sacramento, averaging 16 points,3.4 assists over the last five games.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Sacramento figures to have a considerable advantage. The upper-echelon Kings offense ranks fifth in the NBA in that metric at 0.535, while the suspect Utah defense is ranked 25th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.536).

Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz average 13 second chance points per game, which ranks 17 in the league. The Kings rank 23 in second chance points allowed per game (15.105263157894736).
  • Utah ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Sacramento ranks last (36.4).
  • The Kings rank third in points off turnovers per game (20.3) while the Jazz rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • Utah ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Sacramento ranks 21st (5.6).
  • Sacramento averages 8.210526315789474 steals per game, which ranks 11 in the NBA. Utah ranks 22 in steals allowed per game (8.736842105263158).
  • The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (22.5) while the Jazz rank 28th (10.2).
  • The Kings average 53.578947368421055 points in the paint per game, which ranks 4 in the NBA. The Jazz rank 16 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.05263157894737).
  • Utah ranks 19 in assists per game (23.157894736842106) while Sacramento ranks 22 in assists allowed per game (24.263157894736842).
  • Utah ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Sacramento ranks 27th (48.8).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Utah is 3-2 and Sacramento is 3-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Jazz are 6-6 and the Kings are 9-8.
  • Utah is 5-7 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 6-2 ATS at home.
  • The Jazz have 6 overs and 6 unders in 12 road games.
  • In 8 home games, the Kings have 6 unders and 2 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under, while Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 1.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 98.4 points per game (6.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.8 points per game (2.3 below their season average).