The league’s top scoring team will be at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (13-3) go head-to-head with the Utah Jazz (11-5). The game will air on NBATV at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019.
Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Bucks (13-point favorites) defeated the Detroit Pistons 104-90, while the Jazz (5.5-point favorites) beat the New Orleans Pelicans 128-120. The Milwaukee game finished 31.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5, while the Utah game went 21.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5.
Utah dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.354 (above their season average of 0.237) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.604 (above their season average of 0.516). For those same stats, New Orleans was 0.188 and 0.500, respectively. The Bucks, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.107 vs. 0.066) and held the Pistons to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.0 (below their season average of 23.0). Milwaukee received a boost from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 28 points and 10 rebounds. Donovan Mitchell, meanwhile played well for Utah, recording 37 points, seven rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this year, Bojan Bogdanovic led the Jazz to a 103-100 victory. He scored a game-high 33 points. The two teams combined to score 203 points, which was under the projected point total of 217.5, and Utah covered as a 2-point underdog. Utah was lights out from beyond the arc (15-36; 41.7 percent). Milwaukee, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (10.0 vs. 17.1).
Games featuring the Jazz have typically finished under the O/U total (68.8 percent). Utah is 11-5 straight up (SU), but they are just 6-10 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Utah, Bucks games have a tendency to go over the total (56.3 percent). Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 13-3 SU and 8-8 ATS.
The game should be a showdown of strength against strength as the high-powered offense of Milwaukee (third in the league with an offensive efficiency of 110.3) takes on the elite defense of Utah (first in the league with a defensive efficiency of 100.0). Also, second chance points could be tough to come by for the Jazz. They rank 28th in the league in offensive rebounding percentage at 18.7 percent, while the Bucks are second-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 81.4 percent).
Utah Jazz vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.9) while the Jazz rank 14th (45.7).
- Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.6) while Utah ranks 26th (10.8).
- The Bucks rank fourth in points in the paint per game (52.5) while the Jazz rank 24th (43.9).
- Milwaukee ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Utah ranks 26th (15.1).
- Milwaukee ranks 13th in assists per game (24.6) while Utah ranks 27th (20.7).
- The Jazz rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (32.1) while the Bucks rank last (38.3).
- The Bucks rank fourth in blocks per game (6.3) while the Jazz rank 18th (4.5).
- Milwaukee ranks 14th in steals per game (7.8) while Utah ranks 25th (6.2).
- Milwaukee ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.3) while Utah ranks 29th (9.6).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Utah is 5-1 and Milwaukee is 3-0.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Jazz are 10-3 and the Bucks are 13-3.
- Milwaukee is 3-3 ATS at home, while Utah is 2-5 ATS on the road.
- Of the Jazz’s 7 road games, they have 6 unders and 1 over.
- In 6 home games, the Bucks have 4 overs and 2 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Utah and Milwaukee have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 118.6 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (4.2 below their season average).
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 4.0 for the season.
