UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers Free Prediction 01/27/19

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A six-game home winning streak is on the line for the Memphis Tigers (12-7, 4-2 AAC) when they go head-to-head against the UCF Knights (15-3, 5-1 AAC) at FedExForum. The game can be seen on CBS Sports Network at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.

UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Tigers lost to the Temple Owls, 85-76, while the Knights dismantled the Tulane Green Wave, 75-50.

UCF played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 12.7 (better than their season average of 14.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.493 (below their season average of 0.539). For those same stats, Tulane had marks of 23.7 and 0.361, respectively. Memphis, meanwhile, held Temple to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 26.8). Memphis was lifted by Jeremiah Martin, who had 28 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Aubrey Dawkins was a key piece for UCF with 19 points and seven rebounds.

The Knights dominated this series last year, winning both contests. In the last game, UCF won 68-64. UCF’s 0.588 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Memphis, who had a rate of 0.461. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Opposite paces will be on display in this battle. Memphis likes to play quickly (sixth in possessions per game), while UCF is slower-paced (305th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Knights rank 52nd in turnover percentage (16.9 percent), while the Tigers rank 38th in opponents’ turnover percentage (22.6 percent).

UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – Memphis, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • UCF averages 4.7 blocks per game, which ranks 27th in the NCAA. Memphis ranks 149th in blocks allowed per game (4.3).
  • The Knights rank 65th in rebounds per game (38.1) while the Tigers rank 168th in rebounds allowed per game (35.5).
  • Memphis ranks 156th in three pointers attempted per game (22.3) while UCF ranks 242nd (19.6).
  • The Tigers rank 14th in steals per game (8.8) while the Knights rank 124th (6.2).
  • Memphis ranks 33rd in assists per game (16.2) while UCF ranks 139th (13.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 79.4 points per game (4.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 77.4 points per game (0.3 above their season average).
  • The Knights’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, down from 11.5 for the season.