The Tulane Green Wave (+4) are heading northeast to face the Navy Midshipmen at Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. This crucial AAC matchup starts at 3:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can view the action live on CBS Sports Network.
Betting Preview: Tulane Green Wave vs. Navy Midshipmen
In this Saturday American Athletic Conference game, Navy is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Green Wave are also receiving +155 moneyline odds while the Midshipmen are -175. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51.5 points. If Navy starts trailing early, it will likely generate a nice betting opportunity in-game.
This game’s opening line was -4. The total has yet to move since it was initially set at 51.5.
The Green Wave are 5-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-3.
The Midshipmen are up 3.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-1 ATS and have an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Green Wave have gone 5-2 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Midshipmen are 5-1 SU overall and are also 3-1 SU in conference play.
These two squads faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 29-28 win for Tulane.
The Green Wave are on the rebound after a 47-17 defeat to Memphis last week. The passing attack could’ve been better as Justin McMillan completed just 15 passes on 28 attempts for 187 yards, one score and three interceptions. McMillan (89 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) also led the running attack. Darnell Mooney (five receptions, 65 yards, one TD) and Amare Jones (four catches, 32 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Navy just picked up a lopsided 35-3 win over South Florida. The defense allowed the Bulls to rush for 150 yards on 37 attempts. Jordan Cronkrite was a bright spot in the loss for South Florida, recording 76 rushing yards on 17 attempts. As a group, the Midshipmen collectively completed one-of-four passes for 23 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Malcolm Perry went zero-for-three for zero yards and two interceptions while CJ Williams was one-of-one for 23 yards and one touchdown. Perry (188 yards on 22 rush attempts, two TDs) mounted the running game while OJ Davis (one receptions, 23 yards, one TD) led all Navy pass-catchers in the win.
Tulane has run the ball on 63.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Navy has an overall rush percentage of 88.6 percent. The Green Wave have produced 267.7 rush yards/game (including 260.7 per game versus American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 21 scores on the ground this year. The Midshipmen are averaging 345 rush yards per game (357 in conference) and have 26 total rushing TDs.
The Green Wave offense has logged 205.3 yards per game in the air overall (232 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Midshipmen have recorded 93 pass yards per contest (73 in the AAC) and have four total pass scores.
Defensively, Tulane has allowed opponents to run for an average of 142 yards and throw for 208.4 yards per game. The Navy D has allowed 185.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 96.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Midshipmen are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.02 to opponents, while the Green Wave have allowed a 5.86 ANY/A.
Williams has been more efficient than McMillan of late. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 43.00 for the year and 34.50 over his last two outings while McMillan’s ANY/A is 5.78 (and 5.93 over the past two outings).
Tulane Green Wave vs. Navy Midshipmen Free Pick
SU Winner: Navy, ATS Winner: Navy, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Navy defense has produced 17 sacks on the year while Tulane has just 10.
- The Navy offense has lost eight fumbles this season while Tulane has let four get away.
- The Green Wave offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Midshipmen have accounted for three such plays.
- The Tulane defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Navy has given up five such plays.
- The Tulane offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Navy has created 20 such runs.
- Both defenses have allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Green Wave have given up 31 running plays of 10+ yards while the Midshipmen have given up 21 such plays.
- The Over/Under for Navy’s last match was set at 53. The under cashed in the 35-3 win over South Florida.
- In its last three contests, Navy is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three contests, Tulane is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Tulane’s last game going into it was 60.5. The over cashed in the team’s 47-17 defeat to Memphis.
- Tulane, as a team, has produced 5.9 yards per carry across its past three outings and 5.7 over its last two.
- Navy has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 7.0 over its last two.
