The Troy Trojans (-8) and Texas State Bobcats are ready to face off on the turf at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 3:00 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on ESPN 3.
Betting Preview: Troy Trojans at Texas State Bobcats
Texas State is a big home underdog in this SBC game and is currently getting 8 points. The Trojans are also receiving -340 moneyline odds while the Bobcats are +260. If one side gets out in front early on it will result in a worthy betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 61 points.
The Trojans are down 3.6 units so far and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 6-3.
The Bobcats are down 2.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 0-6-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-5.
The Trojans are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against conference opponents. The Bobcats are 3-6 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.
The Trojans are coming off a resounding 49-28 win over Georgia Southern last week where Kaleb Barker completed 27-of-41 passes for 330 yards, three scores and one interception. DK Billingsley (163 yards on 14 rush attempts, two TDs) led the running attack while Kaylon Geiger (seven receptions, 110 yards) and Khalil McClain (five catches, 52 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Texas State just earned a 30-28 win over South Alabama. Tyler Vitt completed 23-of-33 passes for 373 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Vitt (42 yards on 11 rush attempts) and Anthony D. Taylor (27 yards on 11 carries) handled the running game while Hutch White (10 receptions, 165 yards) and Javen Banks (four catches, 63 yards, one TD) led all Texas State pass-catchers in the win.
Troy has run the ball on 46.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas State has a rush percentage of 44 percent. The Trojans have rushed for 158.1 yards per game (including 164.6 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 16 scores on the ground this year. The Bobcats are totaling 75.2 rush yards per game (98.8 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Trojans could own an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their running backs has logged 4.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Bobcats have recorded 2.6 yards per carry and given up 4.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Trojans offensive scheme has tallied 320.3 yards per game through the air overall (346.4 per game against conference opposition) and has 24 passing scores so far. The Bobcats have produced 242.6 pass yards per outing (220 in the SBC) and have 11 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Troy has allowed opponents to run for an average of 143.7 yards and pass for 264.6 yards per game. The Texas State defense has allowed 186.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 221.7 yards per game on the ground. The Bobcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.43 to opponents, while the Trojans have given up a 7.59 ANY/A.
Barker has been more productive than Vitt recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.56for the season and 9.55 over the past two outings. Vitt’s ANY/A is 5.23 for the season and 7.12 across his past two outings.
When these two programs met last year, Troy emerged victorious by a final score of 12-7.
Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats Bedding Prediction
SU Winner: Texas State, ATS Winner: Texas State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Troy defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 27 times this season. Texas State has recorded just 10 sacks.
- Texas State has lost four fumbles this season while Troy has let six get away.
- The Trojans offense has created eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bobcats have put up six such plays.
- The Troy defense has allowed 13 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Texas State has given up four such plays.
- The Troy offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Texas State has created nine such runs.
- The Trojans defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bobcats have given up 14 such runs.
- The O/U for Texas State’s last outing was set at 41.5. The over cashed in that 30-28 victory over South Alabama.
- In its last three contests, Texas State is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three matches, Troy is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Troy’s previous game was set at 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 49-28 victory over Georgia Southern.
- Troy has averaged 5.6 yards per carry across its last three games and 6.1 over its last two.
- Texas State has averaged 2.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 1.8 over its last two.
