Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars Free Prediction 02/29/20

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The South Alabama Jaguars (18-11, 11-7 SBC) and the Troy Trojans (9-20, 5-13 SBC) square off at Mitchell Center. The Jaguars have won their last six games, while the Trojans have lost five games in a row. The game gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020.

Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars ATS Odds

In their last contest, the Jaguars edged the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 74-71, while the Trojans were beaten by the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 68-59. The Jaguars made 17 of their 23 free throws (73.9 percent), while the Chanticleers had a turnover percentage of 24.6 (above their season average of 17.9). Troy, meanwhile, held Appalachian State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.2 (below their season average of 28.0). South Alabama’s Chad Lott played well, putting up 22 points and eight rebounds. Meanwhile, Troy was led by Ty Gordon, who recorded 11 points, six rebounds and six assists. In their first matchup this season, Josh Ajayi led the Jaguars to a 70-66 victory. He notched a double-double with 20 points and 10 rebounds. South Alabama’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Troy. The Jaguars had a rate of 0.186, while the Trojans posted a mark of 0.083. The physical South Alabama offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Jaguars rank 13th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.291, while Troy ranks 286th in FTA rate allowed (0.264).

Troy at South Alabama Odds Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – South Alabama, ATS Winner – South Alabama, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Troy ranks 33rd in three pointers attempted per game (26.5) while South Alabama ranks 295th (16.2).
  • The Jaguars rank 35th in steals allowed per game (5.4) while the Trojans rank 154th (6.7).
  • South Alabama ranks 80th in blocks per game (3.7) while Troy ranks 135th in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
  • The Jaguars rank 104th in rebounds allowed per game (33.9) while the Trojans rank 262nd (38.4).
  • Troy ranks 86th in assists per game (14.0) while South Alabama ranks 235th (11.2).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Trojans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.0, up from 4.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Jaguars have scored an average of 70.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (1.9 below their season average).