The New Orleans Pelicans (8-6) will be at home in Smoothie King Center when they challenge the Toronto Raptors (8-5). New Orleans opened as a 3.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217 points. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 15, 2017, and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.
Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The Raptors were victorious over the Houston Rockets in their last outing, 129-113. With 19 points, 10 assists and five rebounds, Toronto’s Kyle Lowry played well. The Raptors forced 19 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.608 (above their season average of 0.532).
In the Pelicans’ last matchup, they topped the Atlanta Hawks, 106-105. DeMarcus Cousins had a solid performance for New Orleans, contributing 22 points, 16 rebounds and seven assists. The Pelicans had a better free throw rate (0.147 vs. 0.092) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.633 (above their season average of 0.527).
It could be a mistake-prone game for the New Orleans offense. New Orleans ranks 22nd in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.8 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Toronto forces the fourth-most turnovers in the NBA (16.1 percent).
Of Toronto’s 12 games with betting action, six have finished over the projected point total, while 8 of New Orleans’ 14 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (8-5 for Toronto; 8-6 for New Orleans), but the Pelicans have the edge against the spread (ATS). New Orleans is 9-5 ATS, while the Raptors are 6-6.
These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 240 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 215. The Raptors won 122-118, covering as 5-point underdogs. Toronto’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Raptors had 10 offensive rebounds and 48 total rebounds, while the Pelicans had four and 38, respectively. In the loss, Jrue Holiday recorded a double-double with 34 points and 11 assists.
Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds Prediction
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Predictions: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Raptors rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.4) while the Pelicans rank 19th (8.6).
- New Orleans ranks 15th in fast break points per game (10.2) while Toronto ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8).
- New Orleans ranks third in assists per game (25.2) while Toronto ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (22.4).
- New Orleans averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Toronto ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
- On the road, Toronto is 4-3 ATS with 5 unders and 2 overs.
- At home, New Orleans is 3-3 ATS with 4 unders and 2 overs.
- When allowing less than 100 points, Toronto is 3-1 and New Orleans is 2-0.
- The Raptors are 7-2 when they reach 100 points, while the Pelicans are 6-2.
- The Pelicans average 12.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Raptors rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
- Toronto averages 21.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. New Orleans ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
- The Raptors average 31.0 three pointers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Pelicans rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (31.3).
- The Pelicans average 45.4 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Raptors rank 10th in rebounds allowed per game (42.3).
- New Orleans averages 52.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Toronto ranks 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (44.6).
Bettings Trends:
- New Orleans is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Toronto is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 0.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (4.4 above their season average).
