The Toronto Raptors (47-19) will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to go head-to-head against the Miami Heat (31-34). The game will air on Fox Sports – Seattle at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 10, 2019.
Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat ATS Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Heat (9-point favorites) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 126-110, while the Raptors (9.5-point favorites) beat the New Orleans Pelicans 127-104. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Miami game went 22.5 points over the projected point total of 213.5, while the Toronto game went 1 point over the projected point total of 230.
The Raptors, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.532, had a phenomenal mark of 0.601, while the Pelicans had a free throw rate of 0.076 (below their season average of 0.204). The Heat, on the other hand, had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 38.9 (above their season average of 25.5) and had a free throw rate of 0.304 (above their season average of 0.174). Justise Winslow put together a good outing for Miami with 16 points, nine rebounds and nine assists. Kyle Lowry, meanwhile played a massive role in the victory for Toronto, accumulating 13 points, 12 assists and 11 rebounds on his way to his first triple-double of the year.
In their two matchups this season, the Raptors have won both. The two teams combined to score 210 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 207. Toronto won 106-104, covering as a 2-point favorite. Making free throws was one of Toronto’s largest strengths. They were 19-23 (82.6 percent), while the Heat were just 6-12 (50.0 percent). Kawhi Leonard was the game’s top overall scorer with 30 points.
Of the Raptors’ 66 games, 36 have finished over the total. Toronto has a superb 47-19 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 28-36-2 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Toronto, Heat games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (52.3 percent). Further, Miami is 31-34 SU and 34-30-1 ATS.
Miami might struggle to put up points as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Toronto currently ranks seventh in defensive efficiency, while the Heat rank 23rd in offensive efficiency.
Raptors at Heat Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.3) while the Raptors rank eighth (47.2).
- Toronto ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.7) while Miami ranks last (9.7).
- The Heat rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while the Raptors rank 14th (44.7).
- Miami ranks sixth in second chance points per game (14.3) while Toronto ranks 15th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).
- Miami ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.6) while Toronto ranks 11th (5.3).
- The Raptors average 17.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Heat rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).
- The Raptors rank 10th in steals per game (8.3) while the Heat rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.6).
- Toronto averages 33.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Miami ranks 16th in three pointers allowed per game (32.3).
- Miami ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Toronto ranks 15th (24.5).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Toronto is 11-1 and Miami is 17-3.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Raptors are 44-13 and the Heat are 28-18.
- Miami is 13-19-1 ATS at home, while Toronto is 14-17-1 ATS on the road.
- In 32 road games, the Raptors have 18 overs and 14 unders.
- The Heat have 19 overs and 14 unders in 33 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Toronto and Miami have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Heat are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 2-3.
- The Heat have outscored opponents by an average of 10.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Miami has lost by an average of 0.2 points.
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
