The Toronto Raptors (31-14) visit AT&T Center to meet the San Antonio Spurs (20-24). The Raptors are a 2.5-point favorite and will attempt to prolong their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points and it will air on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 26, 2020.
Toronto Raptors at San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Raptors (8.5-point favorites) beat the New York Knicks, 118-112, while the Spurs (4.5-point favorites) fell to the Phoenix Suns, 103-99. The Toronto game went 12 points over the projected point total of 218, while the San Antonio game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 225.
Toronto dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 7.1 (better than their season average of 12.5) and a free throw rate of 0.235 (above their season average of 0.202). For those same stats, New York was 12.9 and 0.176, respectively. San Antonio, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (28-33; 84.8 percent). DeMar DeRozan played a key role for San Antonio with 30 points and eight rebounds. Toronto, meanwhile, rallied around Kyle Lowry, who recorded 26 points and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, DeRozan led the Spurs to a 105-104 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points. San Antonio covered as a 5-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 209 points, which was under the projected point total of 220. San Antonio did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (22-30; 73.3 percent). Toronto, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.495 vs. 0.477).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Raptors games, with 24 overs compared to 21 unders. Toronto heads into the contest with records of 31-14 straight up (SU) and 24-20-1 against the spread (ATS).
Spurs games have a tendency to go over the projected point total (59.1 percent). Further, San Antonio is 20-24 SU and 17-25-2 ATS.
Based on each team’s statistical profile, ball protection could play a significant role in this meeting. San Antonio commits the third-fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the pesky defense of Toronto forces the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.4 percent).
Raptors at Spurs Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while the Spurs rank 13th (47.3).
- Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.2) while San Antonio ranks 27th (15.1).
- The Raptors rank third in fast break points per game (17.8) while the Spurs rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
- San Antonio averages 46.0 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Toronto ranks 25th in rebounds allowed per game (46.8).
- San Antonio averages 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Toronto ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
- The Raptors rank second in steals per game (8.7) while the Spurs rank 24th (6.9).
- The Raptors rank ninth in assists per game (25.5) while the Spurs rank 25th in assists allowed per game (25.4).
- San Antonio ranks 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2) while Toronto ranks 26th (14.3).
- Toronto ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.2) while San Antonio ranks 29th (28.1).
- Toronto is 12-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while San Antonio is 1-0.
- The Spurs are 20-19 when they score over 100 points, while the Raptors are 29-9.
- Toronto is 11-10-1 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 7-16 ATS at home.
- Of the Raptors’ 22 road games, they have 11 overs and 11 unders.
- In 23 home games, the Spurs have 13 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Toronto and San Antonio are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Raptors have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Spurs have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 121.8 points per game (9.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (3.4 above their season average).
- The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has lost by an average of 0.9 points.
